Aura Energy Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of AEE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

AEE (A$0.15) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (A$1.49)

Is AEE undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Book vs Peers
Price-To-Book vs Industry
Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AEE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AEE (A$0.15) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$1.49)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AEE is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AEE?

Key metric: As AEE is unprofitable and pre-revenue we use its Price-To-Book Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Book ratio for AEE. This is calculated by dividing AEE's market cap by their current book value.
What is AEE's PB Ratio?
PB Ratio	2.2x
Book	AU$55.17m
Market Cap	AU$123.03m

AEE key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	n/a
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	-17.1x
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does AEE's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PB ratio for AEE vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PB	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	1.9x
TER TerraCom	1x	n/a	AU$164.2m
GHY Gold Hydrogen	3x	n/a	AU$106.2m
BKY Berkeley Energia	1.8x	n/a	AU$160.5m
ACB A-Cap Energy	1.9x	n/a	AU$86.5m
AEE Aura Energy	2.2x	n/a	AU$123.0m

Price-To-Book vs Peers: AEE is expensive based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (2.2x) compared to the peer average (2x).

Price to Book Ratio vs Industry

How does AEE's PB Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Oil and Gas Industry?

4 Companies	Price / Book	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
ATS Australis Oil & Gas	0.2x	n/a	US$7.54m
BME Black Mountain Energy	0.07x	n/a	US$2.00m
AUH AustChina Holdings	0.2x	n/a	US$1.56m
BSN Basin Energy	0.2x	n/a	US$1.35m

No more companies available in this PB range

4 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Book vs Industry: AEE is expensive based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (2.2x) compared to the Australian Oil and Gas industry average (1.3x).

Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AEE's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AEE PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ratio	2.2x
Fair PB Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate AEE's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

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