Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Cue Energy Resources Limited (ASX:CUE) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Cue Energy Resources
What Is Cue Energy Resources's Net Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Cue Energy Resources had debt of AU$3.95m at the end of June 2023, a reduction from AU$6.90m over a year. But on the other hand it also has AU$15.2m in cash, leading to a AU$11.3m net cash position.
How Healthy Is Cue Energy Resources' Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Cue Energy Resources had liabilities of AU$13.2m due within a year, and liabilities of AU$40.6m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had AU$15.2m in cash and AU$15.7m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total AU$22.8m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Cue Energy Resources has a market capitalization of AU$40.5m, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Cue Energy Resources also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
While Cue Energy Resources doesn't seem to have gained much on the EBIT line, at least earnings remain stable for now. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Cue Energy Resources will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. Cue Energy Resources may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Looking at the most recent two years, Cue Energy Resources recorded free cash flow of 29% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.
Summing Up
Although Cue Energy Resources's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of AU$11.3m. So we are not troubled with Cue Energy Resources's debt use. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Cue Energy Resources you should be aware of, and 1 of them is concerning.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ASX:CUE
Cue Energy Resources
An oil and gas production and exploration company, engages in the exploration, development, and production of petroleum products.
Excellent balance sheet, good value and pays a dividend.