Aura Energy Valuation

Is AEE undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Book vs Peers

  • Price-To-Book vs Industry

  • Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AEE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AEE (A$0.16) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$1.48)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AEE is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AEE?

Key metric: As AEE is unprofitable and pre-revenue we use its Price-To-Book Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Book ratio for AEE. This is calculated by dividing AEE's market cap by their current book value.
What is AEE's PB Ratio?
PB Ratio2.4x
BookAU$55.17m
Market CapAU$131.51m

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does AEE's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PB ratio for AEE vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PBEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.8x
TER TerraCom
0.9xn/aAU$148.2m
BKY Berkeley Energia
1.7xn/aAU$142.7m
GHY Gold Hydrogen
2.8xn/aAU$100.6m
ACB A-Cap Energy
1.9xn/aAU$86.5m
AEE Aura Energy
2.4xn/aAU$131.5m

Price-To-Book vs Peers: AEE is expensive based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (2.4x) compared to the peer average (1.8x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Industry

How does AEE's PB Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Oil and Gas Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / BookEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ATS Australis Oil & Gas
0.2xn/aUS$7.39m
BME Black Mountain Energy
0.07xn/aUS$2.00m
BSN Basin Energy
0.1xn/aUS$1.03m
No more companies available in this PB range
AEE 2.4xIndustry Avg. 1.2xNo. of Companies12PB00.81.62.43.24+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Book vs Industry: AEE is expensive based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (2.4x) compared to the Australian Oil and Gas industry average (1.1x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AEE's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AEE PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ratio2.4x
Fair PB Ration/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate AEE's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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