Omni Bridgeway Valuation

Is OBL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of OBL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: OBL (A$1) is trading above our estimate of fair value (A$0.26)

Significantly Below Fair Value: OBL is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for OBL?

Key metric: As OBL is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for OBL. This is calculated by dividing OBL's market cap by their current revenue.
What is OBL's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio3.4x
SalesAU$82.86m
Market CapAU$288.24m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does OBL's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for OBL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2x
PNC Pioneer Credit
2.6x15.1%AU$88.0m
IAM Income Asset Management Group
1.8xn/aAU$24.6m
EPY Earlypay
0.9x-5.3%AU$50.3m
BTN Butn
2.6xn/aAU$18.2m
OBL Omni Bridgeway
3.4x42.1%AU$288.2m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: OBL is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.4x) compared to the peer average (2x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does OBL's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Diversified Financial Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
WTL WT Financial Group
0.2xn/aUS$21.36m
YBR Yellow Brick Road Holdings
0.1xn/aUS$13.02m
No more companies available in this PS range
OBL 3.4xIndustry Avg. 2.5xNo. of Companies3PS012345+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: OBL is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.4x) compared to the Oceanic Diversified Financial industry average (2.5x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is OBL's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

OBL PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio3.4x
Fair PS Ratio1.9x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: OBL is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst OBL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$1.00
AU$3.13
+212.5%
44.6%AU$4.52AU$1.73n/a2
Nov ’25AU$0.88
AU$3.13
+255.1%
44.6%AU$4.52AU$1.73n/a2
Oct ’25AU$1.14
AU$3.13
+175.3%
44.6%AU$4.52AU$1.73n/a2
Sep ’25AU$0.89
AU$3.17
+258.2%
45.4%AU$4.61AU$1.73n/a2
Aug ’25AU$0.97
AU$3.17
+225.1%
45.4%AU$4.61AU$1.73n/a2
Jul ’25AU$1.04
AU$3.17
+204.8%
45.4%AU$4.61AU$1.73n/a2
Jun ’25AU$0.84
AU$3.17
+277.4%
45.4%AU$4.61AU$1.73n/a2
May ’25AU$1.15
AU$4.24
+268.3%
8.9%AU$4.61AU$3.86n/a2
Apr ’25AU$1.51
AU$4.20
+178.1%
8.1%AU$4.54AU$3.86n/a2
Mar ’25AU$1.66
AU$4.20
+153.0%
8.1%AU$4.54AU$3.86n/a2
Feb ’25AU$1.25
AU$4.20
+236.0%
8.1%AU$4.54AU$3.86n/a2
Nov ’24AU$1.48
AU$4.14
+179.7%
6.8%AU$4.42AU$3.86AU$0.882
Oct ’24AU$1.80
AU$4.14
+130.0%
6.8%AU$4.42AU$3.86AU$1.142
Sep ’24AU$2.14
AU$4.14
+93.5%
6.8%AU$4.42AU$3.86AU$0.892
Aug ’24AU$2.90
AU$4.14
+42.8%
6.8%AU$4.42AU$3.86AU$0.972
Jul ’24AU$2.62
AU$4.14
+58.0%
6.8%AU$4.42AU$3.86AU$1.042
Jun ’24AU$2.75
AU$4.76
+73.1%
7.1%AU$5.10AU$4.42AU$0.842
May ’24AU$2.32
AU$4.76
+105.2%
7.1%AU$5.10AU$4.42AU$1.152
Mar ’24AU$2.88
AU$7.28
+152.8%
27.2%AU$9.26AU$5.30AU$1.662
Feb ’24AU$4.01
AU$7.46
+85.9%
24.2%AU$9.26AU$5.65AU$1.252
Jan ’24AU$3.62
AU$7.46
+105.9%
24.2%AU$9.26AU$5.65AU$1.362
Dec ’23AU$4.28
AU$7.46
+74.2%
24.2%AU$9.26AU$5.65AU$1.472
Nov ’23AU$4.58
AU$7.46
+62.8%
24.2%AU$9.26AU$5.65AU$1.482

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.


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