N1 Holdings Limited (ASX:N1H) Stock Catapults 45% Though Its Price And Business Still Lag The Market
N1 Holdings Limited (ASX:N1H) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 45% share price jump in the last month. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 12% is also fairly reasonable.
Although its price has surged higher, N1 Holdings may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 14.9x, since almost half of all companies in Australia have P/E ratios greater than 21x and even P/E's higher than 39x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at N1 Holdings over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the disappointing earnings performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/E. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
View our latest analysis for N1 Holdings
How Is N1 Holdings' Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as N1 Holdings' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 21%. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 15% overall rise in EPS. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 24% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.
In light of this, it's understandable that N1 Holdings' P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the bourse.
The Bottom Line On N1 Holdings' P/E
The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift N1 Holdings' P/E close to the market median. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that N1 Holdings maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider market forecast, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for N1 Holdings that we have uncovered.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.