Magellan Financial Group Limited

ASX:MFG Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$2.0b

Magellan Financial Group Valuation

Is MFG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MFG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MFG (A$11.12) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$16.01)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MFG is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MFG?

Key metric: As MFG is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MFG. This is calculated by dividing MFG's market cap by their current earnings.
What is MFG's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio8.3x
EarningsAU$238.76m
Market CapAU$1.99b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MFG's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MFG vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average33x
AUI Australian United Investment
26.5xn/aAU$1.3b
HMC HMC Capital
61.6x20.5%AU$4.1b
RPL Regal Partners
22.6x21.1%AU$1.3b
BKI BKI Investment
21.2xn/aAU$1.4b
MFG Magellan Financial Group
8.3x-9.1%AU$2.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MFG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.3x) compared to the peer average (32.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MFG's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Capital Markets Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
BPH BPH Energy
2.9xn/aUS$8.34m
KBC Keybridge Capital
1.4xn/aUS$6.46m
OEQ Orion Equities
0.8xn/aUS$1.46m
PEQA Pritchard Equity
2.7xn/aUS$861.02k
MFG 8.3xIndustry Avg. 20.6xNo. of Companies7PE01224364860+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MFG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.3x) compared to the Australian Capital Markets industry average (20.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MFG's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MFG PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio8.3x
Fair PE Ratio13.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MFG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MFG forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$11.12
AU$10.01
-9.9%
6.7%AU$11.44AU$9.00n/a10
Dec ’25AU$10.93
AU$9.97
-8.7%
6.9%AU$11.44AU$9.00n/a10
Nov ’25AU$10.64
AU$9.98
-6.2%
6.9%AU$11.44AU$9.00n/a10
Oct ’25AU$10.07
AU$9.88
-1.9%
7.0%AU$11.44AU$9.00n/a10
Sep ’25AU$9.53
AU$9.73
+2.1%
8.3%AU$11.44AU$8.26n/a11
Aug ’25AU$10.26
AU$9.11
-11.2%
8.3%AU$10.50AU$8.20n/a11
Jul ’25AU$8.48
AU$8.89
+4.8%
9.5%AU$10.25AU$7.40n/a11
Jun ’25AU$8.17
AU$8.89
+8.8%
9.5%AU$10.25AU$7.40n/a11
May ’25AU$8.74
AU$8.88
+1.7%
9.5%AU$10.25AU$7.40n/a11
Apr ’25AU$9.89
AU$8.68
-12.2%
9.7%AU$10.25AU$7.40n/a12
Mar ’25AU$8.22
AU$8.67
+5.4%
9.8%AU$10.25AU$7.40n/a12
Feb ’25AU$8.88
AU$8.16
-8.2%
15.2%AU$10.25AU$5.70n/a11
Jan ’25AU$9.28
AU$7.84
-15.6%
17.3%AU$10.50AU$5.70n/a11
Dec ’24AU$7.50
AU$7.69
+2.6%
17.5%AU$10.50AU$5.70AU$10.9312
Nov ’24AU$6.59
AU$7.76
+17.7%
17.9%AU$10.50AU$5.70AU$10.6411
Oct ’24AU$9.22
AU$9.55
+3.5%
14.0%AU$11.50AU$6.45AU$10.0711
Sep ’24AU$9.27
AU$9.55
+3.0%
14.0%AU$11.50AU$6.45AU$9.5311
Aug ’24AU$9.52
AU$8.65
-9.1%
13.4%AU$10.70AU$6.50AU$10.2611
Jul ’24AU$9.49
AU$8.60
-9.4%
13.0%AU$10.70AU$6.60AU$8.4811
Jun ’24AU$7.88
AU$8.60
+9.1%
13.0%AU$10.70AU$6.60AU$8.1711
May ’24AU$8.16
AU$8.79
+7.7%
16.0%AU$11.50AU$6.60AU$8.7410
Apr ’24AU$8.68
AU$9.58
+10.3%
12.7%AU$11.50AU$7.00AU$9.8911
Mar ’24AU$8.76
AU$9.58
+9.3%
12.7%AU$11.50AU$7.00AU$8.2211
Feb ’24AU$8.88
AU$9.39
+5.7%
13.0%AU$11.50AU$7.50AU$8.8811
Jan ’24AU$8.94
AU$10.69
+19.6%
29.9%AU$20.00AU$7.50AU$9.2811
Dec ’23AU$9.98
AU$10.72
+7.4%
29.7%AU$20.00AU$7.50AU$7.5011

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/31 06:49
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/31 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Magellan Financial Group Limited is covered by 16 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Lara TufegdzicBofA Global Research
Anthony HooCLSA
James CordukesCredit Suisse