Is MFG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
5/6
Valuation Score 5/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of MFG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: MFG (A$10.71) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$15.68)
Significantly Below Fair Value: MFG is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MFG?
Key metric: As MFG is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MFG. This is calculated by dividing MFG's market cap by their current
earnings.
What is MFG's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio
8x
Earnings
AU$238.76m
Market Cap
AU$1.95b
MFG key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MFG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8x) compared to the Australian Capital Markets industry average (19x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is MFG's PE Ratio
compared to its
Fair PE Ratio?
This is the expected PE Ratio taking into
account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins
and other risk factors.
MFG PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio
8x
Fair PE Ratio
13.8x
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MFG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.8x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
The above table shows the analyst MFG forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date
Share Price
Average 1Y Price Target
Dispersion
High
Low
1Y Actual price
Analysts
Current
AU$10.71
AU$9.97
-6.9%
6.9%
AU$11.44
AU$9.00
n/a
10
Nov ’25
AU$10.64
AU$9.98
-6.2%
6.9%
AU$11.44
AU$9.00
n/a
10
Oct ’25
AU$10.07
AU$9.88
-1.9%
7.0%
AU$11.44
AU$9.00
n/a
10
Sep ’25
AU$9.53
AU$9.73
+2.1%
8.3%
AU$11.44
AU$8.26
n/a
11
Aug ’25
AU$10.26
AU$9.11
-11.2%
8.3%
AU$10.50
AU$8.20
n/a
11
Jul ’25
AU$8.48
AU$8.89
+4.8%
9.5%
AU$10.25
AU$7.40
n/a
11
Jun ’25
AU$8.17
AU$8.89
+8.8%
9.5%
AU$10.25
AU$7.40
n/a
11
May ’25
AU$8.74
AU$8.88
+1.7%
9.5%
AU$10.25
AU$7.40
n/a
11
Apr ’25
AU$9.89
AU$8.68
-12.2%
9.7%
AU$10.25
AU$7.40
n/a
12
Mar ’25
AU$8.22
AU$8.67
+5.4%
9.8%
AU$10.25
AU$7.40
n/a
12
Feb ’25
AU$8.88
AU$8.16
-8.2%
15.2%
AU$10.25
AU$5.70
n/a
11
Jan ’25
AU$9.28
AU$7.84
-15.6%
17.3%
AU$10.50
AU$5.70
n/a
11
Dec ’24
AU$7.50
AU$7.69
+2.6%
17.5%
AU$10.50
AU$5.70
AU$10.93
12
Nov ’24
AU$6.59
AU$7.76
+17.7%
17.9%
AU$10.50
AU$5.70
AU$10.64
11
Oct ’24
AU$9.22
AU$9.55
+3.5%
14.0%
AU$11.50
AU$6.45
AU$10.07
11
Sep ’24
AU$9.27
AU$9.55
+3.0%
14.0%
AU$11.50
AU$6.45
AU$9.53
11
Aug ’24
AU$9.52
AU$8.65
-9.1%
13.4%
AU$10.70
AU$6.50
AU$10.26
11
Jul ’24
AU$9.49
AU$8.60
-9.4%
13.0%
AU$10.70
AU$6.60
AU$8.48
11
Jun ’24
AU$7.88
AU$8.60
+9.1%
13.0%
AU$10.70
AU$6.60
AU$8.17
11
May ’24
AU$8.16
AU$8.79
+7.7%
16.0%
AU$11.50
AU$6.60
AU$8.74
10
Apr ’24
AU$8.68
AU$9.58
+10.3%
12.7%
AU$11.50
AU$7.00
AU$9.89
11
Mar ’24
AU$8.76
AU$9.58
+9.3%
12.7%
AU$11.50
AU$7.00
AU$8.22
11
Feb ’24
AU$8.88
AU$9.39
+5.7%
13.0%
AU$11.50
AU$7.50
AU$8.88
11
Jan ’24
AU$8.94
AU$10.69
+19.6%
29.9%
AU$20.00
AU$7.50
AU$9.28
11
Dec ’23
AU$9.98
AU$10.72
+7.4%
29.7%
AU$20.00
AU$7.50
AU$7.50
11
Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.