Magellan Financial Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 0/6

Magellan Financial Group's revenue and earnings are forecast to decline at 10.1% and 9.1% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to decline by 8.2% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 13.1% in 3 years.

Key information

-9.1%

Earnings growth rate

-8.2%

EPS growth rate

Capital Markets earnings growth	12.2%
Revenue growth rate	-10.1%
Future return on equity	13.1%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	16 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Earnings Beat: Magellan Financial Group Limited Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models

Aug 16

Magellan Financial Group Limited Beat Analyst Estimates: See What The Consensus Is Forecasting For This Year

Feb 16

Recent updates

Lacklustre Performance Is Driving Magellan Financial Group Limited's (ASX:MFG) Low P/E

Nov 20

Earnings Beat: Magellan Financial Group Limited Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models

Aug 16

Magellan Financial Group Limited's (ASX:MFG) Prospects Need A Boost To Lift Shares

Jul 04

Magellan Financial Group Limited's (ASX:MFG) Earnings Are Not Doing Enough For Some Investors

Mar 18

Magellan Financial Group's (ASX:MFG) Shareholders Will Receive A Smaller Dividend Than Last Year

Feb 17

Magellan Financial Group Limited Beat Analyst Estimates: See What The Consensus Is Forecasting For This Year

Feb 16

There's No Escaping Magellan Financial Group Limited's (ASX:MFG) Muted Earnings Despite A 28% Share Price Rise

Dec 18

It's Unlikely That Magellan Financial Group Limited's (ASX:MFG) CEO Will See A Huge Pay Rise This Year

Oct 14

Should You Or Shouldn't You: A Dividend Analysis on Magellan Financial Group Limited (ASX:MFG)

Mar 10

Trade Alert: The CEO, MD & Executive Director Of Magellan Financial Group Limited (ASX:MFG), Brett Cairns, Has Just Spent AU$623k Buying 1.1% More Shares

Feb 17

Magellan Financial Group Limited (ASX:MFG) Just Released Its Half-Year Results And Analysts Are Updating Their Estimates

Feb 12

Shareholders Of Magellan Financial Group (ASX:MFG) Must Be Happy With Their 184% Total Return

Feb 09

How Much Are Magellan Financial Group Limited (ASX:MFG) Insiders Taking Off The Table?

Jan 19

What Kind Of Investors Own Most Of Magellan Financial Group Limited (ASX:MFG)?

Dec 29

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

ASX:MFG - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (AUD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
6/30/2027	278	154	151	154	9
6/30/2026	275	150	148	151	10
6/30/2025	280	150	148	150	10
6/30/2024	379	239	47	47	N/A
3/31/2024	390	221	69	70	N/A
12/31/2023	401	203	92	92	N/A
9/30/2023	416	193	139	139	N/A
6/30/2023	431	183	186	187	N/A
3/31/2023	390	199	236	236	N/A
12/31/2022	350	215	286	286	N/A
9/30/2022	450	299	360	360	N/A
6/30/2022	550	383	434	435	N/A
3/31/2022	669	349	419	419	N/A
12/31/2021	789	314	403	403	N/A
9/30/2021	754	290	402	402	N/A
6/30/2021	720	265	401	401	N/A
3/31/2021	691	334	412	413	N/A
12/31/2020	663	403	424	424	N/A
9/30/2020	679	400	411	411	N/A
6/30/2020	695	396	398	398	N/A
3/31/2020	699	398	388	389	N/A
12/31/2019	703	399	379	379	N/A
9/30/2019	659	388	347	347	N/A
6/30/2019	616	377	314	315	N/A
3/31/2019	573	354	304	304	N/A
12/31/2018	530	332	293	293	N/A
9/30/2018	490	272	232	232	N/A
6/30/2018	451	212	170	170	N/A
3/31/2018	416	187	N/A	148	N/A
12/31/2017	381	163	N/A	126	N/A
9/30/2017	360	179	N/A	145	N/A
6/30/2017	339	196	N/A	165	N/A
3/31/2017	322	186	N/A	173	N/A
12/31/2016	305	176	N/A	180	N/A
9/30/2016	320	187	N/A	181	N/A
6/30/2016	334	198	N/A	182	N/A
3/31/2016	335	202	N/A	167	N/A
12/31/2015	337	206	N/A	153	N/A
9/30/2015	310	190	N/A	145	N/A
6/30/2015	284	174	N/A	137	N/A
3/31/2015	246	149	N/A	116	N/A
12/31/2014	209	124	N/A	96	N/A
9/30/2014	179	104	N/A	91	N/A
6/30/2014	149	83	N/A	87	N/A
3/31/2014	152	85	N/A	72	N/A
12/31/2013	154	87	N/A	58	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: MFG's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-9.1% per year).

Earnings vs Market: MFG's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-9.1% per year).

High Growth Earnings: MFG's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: MFG's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-10.1% per year).

High Growth Revenue: MFG's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-10.1% per year).

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: MFG's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (13.1%).

Discover growth companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/26 17:27
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/24 00:00
Earnings	2024/06/30
Annual Earnings	2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Magellan Financial Group Limited is covered by 16 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Lara Tufegdzic	BofA Global Research
Anthony Hoo	CLSA
James Cordukes	Credit Suisse

Magellan Financial Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 0/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Price target increased by 8.4% to AU$9.88

Earnings Beat: Magellan Financial Group Limited Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models

Magellan Financial Group Limited Beat Analyst Estimates: See What The Consensus Is Forecasting For This Year

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 21%

Price target decreased by 7.1% to AU$7.69

Price target decreased by 7.1% to AU$8.87

Recent updates

Magellan Financial Group Ltd Announces Executive Changes

Lacklustre Performance Is Driving Magellan Financial Group Limited's (ASX:MFG) Low P/E

High number of new and inexperienced directors

Magellan Financial Group Limited Announces Board Changes

Price target increased by 8.4% to AU$9.88

Final dividend of AU$0.36 announced

Magellan Financial Group Limited Announces Dividend for the Six Months Ended June 30, 2024, Payable on September 4, 2024

Earnings Beat: Magellan Financial Group Limited Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models

Magellan Financial Group Limited (ASX:MFG) acquired 29.50% stake in Vinva Investment Management Limited for approximately AUD 140 million.

Full year 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Magellan Financial Group Limited's (ASX:MFG) Prospects Need A Boost To Lift Shares

Key Executive recently sold AU$545k worth of stock

New minor risk - Insider selling

Magellan Financial Group Limited's (ASX:MFG) Earnings Are Not Doing Enough For Some Investors

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16%

Magellan Financial Group's (ASX:MFG) Shareholders Will Receive A Smaller Dividend Than Last Year

First half dividend of AU$0.29 announced

Magellan Financial Group Limited Beat Analyst Estimates: See What The Consensus Is Forecasting For This Year

First half 2024 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.57 (vs AU$0.46 in 1H 2023)

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 21%

Magellan Financial Group Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2024 Results on Aug 15, 2024

There's No Escaping Magellan Financial Group Limited's (ASX:MFG) Muted Earnings Despite A 28% Share Price Rise

Price target decreased by 7.1% to AU$7.69

Executive Chairman recently bought AU$250k worth of stock

Magellan Financial Group Limited Appoints Andrew Formica as Executive Chairman, Effective 25 October 2023

Price target decreased by 7.1% to AU$8.87

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 22%

Magellan Financial Group Limited Announces Board Changes

Less than half of directors are independent

Price target increased by 7.8% to AU$9.33

Magellan Financial Group Limited Declares A Final Dividend for the Six Months Ended 30 June 2023, Payable on 7 September 2023

New major risk - Dividend sustainability

New major risk - Dividend sustainability

Magellan Financial Group Limited Provides Investment Team Leadership Update

Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: AU$1.00 (vs AU$2.07 in FY 2022)

Magellan Financial Group Limited Announces Board Changes

Now 24% undervalued

No independent directors

First half 2023 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

Magellan Financial Group Limited Announces Dividend for the Six Months Period Ending December 31, 2022, Payable on 8 March 2023

Price target decreased by 10% to AU$9.39

Magellan Financial Group Limited Appoints David Dixon as A Non-Executive Director

Magellan Financial Group Limited to Report First Half, 2023 Results on Feb 16, 2023

Magellan Financial Group Limited, Annual General Meeting, Oct 19, 2023

Insider recently sold AU$17m worth of stock

Magellan Financial Group Limited to Appoint David Dixon to the Board

Magellan Financial Group Limited Announces Investment Team Leadership Changes

Magellan Financial Group Limited Announces Retirement of Karen Phin as Independent Non-Executive Director

Full year 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Magellan Financial Group Limited Declares Dividend for the Six Months Ended June 30, 2022, Payable on Sep. 6, 2022

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Magellan Asset Management Limited and Magellan Financial Group Limited Appoints David George to the Board

Price target decreased to AU$13.62

Price target decreased to AU$13.87

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

Insider recently sold AU$9.8m worth of stock

Barrenjoey Capital Partners acquired 11.6% of Guzman y Gomez Pty Ltd from Magellan Financial Group Limited (ASX:MFG) for AUD 146 million.

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

Magellan Financial Group Limited Announces Resignation of Mariana Kolaroski as Joint Company Secretary

Magellan Financial Group Limited Appoints Mr. David George as Managing Director

Barrenjoey Capital Partners entered into an agreement to acquire 11.6% of Guzman y Gomez Pty Ltd from Magellan Financial Group Limited (ASX:MFG) for AUD 146 million.

Magellan Financial Group Limited(ASX:MFGO) dropped from FTSE All-World Index (USD)

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Price target decreased to AU$19.82

First half 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Magellan Financial Group Limited Declares Distribution for the Six Months Ending December 31, 2021 Payable on March 8, 2022

Price target decreased to AU$24.36

Magellan Financial Group Limited Announces Board Changes

Price target decreased to AU$36.31