Stock Analysis

Bell Financial Group's (ASX:BFG) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year

ASX:BFG
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Bell Financial Group Limited's (ASX:BFG) periodic dividend will be increasing on the 12th of September to A$0.03, with investors receiving 20% more than last year's A$0.025. This makes the dividend yield 6.7%, which is above the industry average.

Check out our latest analysis for Bell Financial Group

Bell Financial Group Is Paying Out More Than It Is Earning

We like to see robust dividend yields, but that doesn't matter if the payment isn't sustainable. Before making this announcement, Bell Financial Group was paying out a fairly large proportion of earnings, and it wasn't generating positive free cash flows either. Generally, we think that this would be a risky long term practice.

If the company can't turn things around, EPS could fall by 1.7% over the next year. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio could reach 102%, which could put the dividend in jeopardy if the company's earnings don't improve.

historic-dividend
ASX:BFG Historic Dividend August 19th 2023

Dividend Volatility

While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. The annual payment during the last 10 years was A$0.02 in 2013, and the most recent fiscal year payment was A$0.07. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 13% per annum over that time. Dividends have grown rapidly over this time, but with cuts in the past we are not certain that this stock will be a reliable source of income in the future.

The Dividend's Growth Prospects Are Limited

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. Bell Financial Group hasn't seen much change in its earnings per share over the last five years.

The Dividend Could Prove To Be Unreliable

Overall, this is probably not a great income stock, even though the dividend is being raised at the moment. The track record isn't great, and the payments are a bit high to be considered sustainable. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. Taking the debate a bit further, we've identified 1 warning sign for Bell Financial Group that investors need to be conscious of moving forward. Is Bell Financial Group not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.