InvoCare Valuation

Is IVC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of IVC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: IVC (A$12.67) is trading above our estimate of fair value (A$11.69)

Significantly Below Fair Value: IVC is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for IVC?

Key metric: As IVC is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for IVC. This is calculated by dividing IVC's market cap by their current revenue.
What is IVC's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio3.1x
SalesAU$590.42m
Market CapAU$1.81b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does IVC's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for IVC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.7x
PFP Propel Funeral Partners
3.8x7.2%AU$785.0m
NDO Nido Education
1.3x24.0%AU$180.9m
SHJ Shine Justice
0.8x4.6%AU$149.5m
GEM G8 Education
1x4.4%AU$1.1b
IVC InvoCare
3.1x5.7%AU$1.8b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: IVC is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.1x) compared to the peer average (1.9x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does IVC's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Consumer Services Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PS range
IVC 3.1xIndustry Avg. 1.3xNo. of Companies4PS00.61.21.82.43+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: IVC is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.1x) compared to the Global Consumer Services industry average (1.3x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is IVC's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

IVC PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio3.1x
Fair PS Ratio2.8x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: IVC is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst IVC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
AU$11.61
0%
13.7%AU$12.70AU$8.67n/a6
Nov ’25n/a
AU$11.61
0%
13.7%AU$12.70AU$8.67n/a6
Oct ’25n/a
AU$11.61
0%
13.7%AU$12.70AU$8.67n/a6
Sep ’25n/a
AU$11.61
0%
13.7%AU$12.70AU$8.67n/a6
Aug ’25n/a
AU$11.61
0%
13.7%AU$12.70AU$8.67n/a6
Jul ’25n/a
AU$11.61
0%
13.7%AU$12.70AU$8.67n/a6
Jun ’25n/a
AU$11.61
0%
13.7%AU$12.70AU$8.67n/a6
May ’25n/a
AU$11.61
0%
13.7%AU$12.70AU$8.67n/a6
Apr ’25n/a
AU$11.61
0%
13.7%AU$12.70AU$8.67n/a6
Mar ’25n/a
AU$11.61
0%
13.7%AU$12.70AU$8.67n/a6
Feb ’25n/a
AU$11.61
0%
13.7%AU$12.70AU$8.67n/a6
Jan ’25n/a
AU$11.61
0%
13.7%AU$12.70AU$8.67n/a6
Dec ’24n/a
AU$11.61
0%
13.7%AU$12.70AU$8.67n/a6
Nov ’24AU$12.66
AU$11.61
-8.3%
13.7%AU$12.70AU$8.67n/a6
Oct ’24AU$12.59
AU$11.61
-7.8%
13.7%AU$12.70AU$8.67n/a6
Sep ’24AU$12.54
AU$11.61
-7.4%
13.7%AU$12.70AU$8.67n/a6
Aug ’24AU$12.19
AU$11.51
-5.6%
17.2%AU$14.50AU$8.67n/a7
Jul ’24AU$12.59
AU$11.51
-8.6%
17.2%AU$14.50AU$8.67n/a7
Jun ’24AU$12.38
AU$11.51
-7.0%
17.2%AU$14.50AU$8.67n/a7
May ’24AU$11.12
AU$11.78
+6.0%
14.2%AU$14.50AU$9.31n/a6
Apr ’24AU$11.82
AU$11.52
-2.5%
15.3%AU$14.50AU$9.31n/a6
Mar ’24AU$9.17
AU$10.79
+17.6%
15.0%AU$14.50AU$8.85n/a8
Feb ’24AU$11.54
AU$12.11
+4.9%
10.8%AU$15.30AU$10.99n/a8
Jan ’24AU$11.03
AU$12.11
+9.8%
10.8%AU$15.30AU$10.99n/a8
Dec ’23AU$11.15
AU$12.11
+8.6%
10.8%AU$15.30AU$10.99n/a8
Nov ’23AU$10.48
AU$12.03
+14.8%
11.4%AU$15.30AU$10.75AU$12.668

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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