Stock Analysis

Institutional investors may adopt severe steps after IDP Education Limited's (ASX:IEL) latest 4.1% drop adds to a year losses

Published
ASX:IEL

Key Insights

  • Significantly high institutional ownership implies IDP Education's stock price is sensitive to their trading actions
  • 51% of the business is held by the top 10 shareholders
  • Insiders have bought recently

If you want to know who really controls IDP Education Limited (ASX:IEL), then you'll have to look at the makeup of its share registry. We can see that institutions own the lion's share in the company with 70% ownership. That is, the group stands to benefit the most if the stock rises (or lose the most if there is a downturn).

And institutional investors saw their holdings value drop by 4.1% last week. This set of investors may especially be concerned about the current loss, which adds to a one-year loss of 33% for shareholders. Also referred to as "smart money", institutions have a lot of sway over how a stock's price moves. As a result, if the decline continues, institutional investors may be pressured to sell IDP Education which might hurt individual investors.

Let's delve deeper into each type of owner of IDP Education, beginning with the chart below.

See our latest analysis for IDP Education

ASX:IEL Ownership Breakdown January 24th 2024

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About IDP Education?

Institutions typically measure themselves against a benchmark when reporting to their own investors, so they often become more enthusiastic about a stock once it's included in a major index. We would expect most companies to have some institutions on the register, especially if they are growing.

IDP Education already has institutions on the share registry. Indeed, they own a respectable stake in the company. This implies the analysts working for those institutions have looked at the stock and they like it. But just like anyone else, they could be wrong. If multiple institutions change their view on a stock at the same time, you could see the share price drop fast. It's therefore worth looking at IDP Education's earnings history below. Of course, the future is what really matters.

ASX:IEL Earnings and Revenue Growth January 24th 2024

Institutional investors own over 50% of the company, so together than can probably strongly influence board decisions. IDP Education is not owned by hedge funds. The company's largest shareholder is Bangarra Group, with ownership of 8.5%. In comparison, the second and third largest shareholders hold about 7.4% and 6.3% of the stock.

We also observed that the top 10 shareholders account for more than half of the share register, with a few smaller shareholders to balance the interests of the larger ones to a certain extent.

While it makes sense to study institutional ownership data for a company, it also makes sense to study analyst sentiments to know which way the wind is blowing. There are plenty of analysts covering the stock, so it might be worth seeing what they are forecasting, too.

Insider Ownership Of IDP Education

The definition of an insider can differ slightly between different countries, but members of the board of directors always count. Company management run the business, but the CEO will answer to the board, even if he or she is a member of it.

Insider ownership is positive when it signals leadership are thinking like the true owners of the company. However, high insider ownership can also give immense power to a small group within the company. This can be negative in some circumstances.

Our most recent data indicates that insiders own less than 1% of IDP Education Limited. It's a big company, so even a small proportional interest can create alignment between the board and shareholders. In this case insiders own AU$6.1m worth of shares. It is always good to see at least some insider ownership, but it might be worth checking if those insiders have been selling.

General Public Ownership

With a 30% ownership, the general public, mostly comprising of individual investors, have some degree of sway over IDP Education. This size of ownership, while considerable, may not be enough to change company policy if the decision is not in sync with other large shareholders.

Next Steps:

It's always worth thinking about the different groups who own shares in a company. But to understand IDP Education better, we need to consider many other factors.

Many find it useful to take an in depth look at how a company has performed in the past. You can access this detailed graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.

If you are like me, you may want to think about whether this company will grow or shrink. Luckily, you can check this free report showing analyst forecasts for its future.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.