G8 Education Limited

ASX:GEM Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$115.6m

G8 Education Past Earnings Performance

Past criteria checks 0/6

G8 Education's earnings have been declining at an average annual rate of -8.4%, while the Consumer Services industry saw earnings growing at 14.6% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 4.2% per year.

Key information

-8.43%

Earnings growth rate

-7.69%

EPS growth rate

Consumer Services Industry Growth17.62%
Revenue growth rate4.20%
Return on equity-57.70%
Net Margin-32.03%
Next Earnings Update25 Aug 2026

Recent past performance updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update May 16

GEM: Index Inclusion And Reset Expectations Will Set Stage For Earnings Upside

Analysts have cut their price target for G8 Education from A$0.43 to A$0.25, citing softer assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples, along with a slightly higher discount rate. What's in the News G8 Education Limited (ASX:GEM) has been added to the S&P/ASX Emerging Companies Index, which may put the stock on the radar of index-tracking funds and benchmark-focused investors (Key Developments).
Narrative Update Apr 28

GEM: Reset Expectations And Impairment Will Set Stage For Earnings Upside

Analysts have trimmed their price target on G8 Education to A$0.43 per share, citing revised assumptions around future earnings and valuation multiples reflected in the updated fair value and P/E inputs. Analyst Commentary Recent research commentary frames the revised A$0.43 price target as a recalibration of expectations rather than a simple call on the share price, with analysts weighing both execution risks and potential upside in G8 Education's earnings profile and valuation.
Narrative Update Apr 14

GEM: Future Earnings Will Reflect Goodwill Impairment Reset And Potential Repricing Opportunity

Analysts have trimmed their price target on G8 Education to A$0.38, citing updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts are flagging G8 Education as a higher risk idea at the current A$0.38 price target, with recent research pointing to a more cautious stance on valuation and execution.
Narrative Update Mar 30

GEM: Downgrade And Goodwill Impairment Will Reset Expectations For Future Recovery

Analysts have trimmed their price target on G8 Education to A$X.X0 from A$Y.Y0, citing the recent downgrade and concerns highlighted in Street research about the company's near term operating outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around the downgrade focuses on how G8 Education balances its valuation with execution risks in the near term.
Narrative Update Mar 16

GEM: Lower Fair Value And Impairment Charge Will Reset Earnings Base

Analysts have trimmed their price target for G8 Education from A$0.73 to A$0.43. This reflects updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, as highlighted in recent Street research downgrades.
Narrative Update Mar 02

GEM: Future Earnings Will Reflect Cautious Assumptions And Potential Repricing Opportunity

Narrative Update on G8 Education Analysts have cut their fair value estimate for G8 Education from A$0.72 to A$0.38, reflecting updated expectations for lower revenue growth, a slightly slimmer profit margin, a reduced future P/E and a higher required return following recent research downgrades. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts recently cut their fair value assumptions for G8 Education to A$0.38, citing a mix of softer revenue expectations, slimmer margins and a lower future P/E.
Analysis Article Feb 16

G8 Education Limited (ASX:GEM) Looks Inexpensive After Falling 30% But Perhaps Not Attractive Enough

The G8 Education Limited ( ASX:GEM ) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial...
Narrative Update Feb 16

GEM: Higher Risk Buffer Will Support Gradual Recovery Despite Recent Downgrade

Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for G8 Education from A$0.89 to A$0.73, attributing the lower price target to a higher assumed discount rate, more conservative revenue growth expectations, and updated P/E and margin assumptions following recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent research on G8 Education highlights a mix of optimism about the company’s positioning and caution around execution and valuation.
Narrative Update Feb 02

GEM: Refined Growth Assumptions Will Still Support Future Upside

Analysts have raised their price target on G8 Education slightly to A$1.30, following minor adjustments to revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions, while keeping their overall fair value view broadly unchanged. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Kept unchanged at A$1.30, indicating no shift in the overall valuation anchor.
Narrative Update Jan 19

GEM: Slightly Softer Assumptions Will Still Support Future Upside

Analysts have trimmed their price target on G8 Education slightly to reflect minor changes to the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions. These revisions result in a modestly lower implied valuation in Australian dollar terms.
Narrative Update Jan 04

GEM Will Offer Upside As Modestly Higher Risk Is Rewarded

Analysts have reduced their price target for G8 Education from A$1.70 to A$1.30, citing slightly higher perceived risk, more subdued revenue growth expectations, and softer projected profit margins and valuation multiples. Valuation Changes The fair value estimate has fallen significantly from A$1.70 to A$1.30, reflecting a more cautious assessment of the company’s outlook.
Narrative Update Dec 17

GEM Will Reflect Moderated Revenue Prospects And Softer Margins Ahead

Analysts have trimmed their price target on G8 Education to reflect a fair value reduction to approximately 0.72 Australian dollars from about 0.90, citing slightly higher perceived risk, more muted revenue growth expectations and softer profit margin forecasts, which are partially offset by a modestly higher future earnings multiple. Valuation Changes Fair Value: reduced notably from A$0.90 to A$0.72 per share, implying a lower central valuation estimate.
Narrative Update Dec 03

GEM: Lower Risk Assumptions Will Support Gradual Recovery Despite Near-Term Uncertainty

Analysts have marginally increased their price target on G8 Education by highlighting a slightly lower discount rate alongside steady expectations for revenue growth and profit margins, supporting a modest uplift in the stock's assessed fair value in Australian dollar terms. Valuation Changes Fair Value is unchanged at A$0.89 per share, indicating the modest uplift is driven by risk assumptions rather than cash flow revisions.
Narrative Update Nov 19

GEM: Strengthening Occupancy Rates Will Support Recovery Despite Short-Term Uncertainty

Analysts have lowered their price target for G8 Education from A$1.49 to A$1.06, citing concerns about the challenging operating environment and uncertainties related to potential liabilities. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary from market analysts reflects a balanced yet cautious stance toward G8 Education, with a mix of optimism regarding long-term fundamentals and concern over current operational and legal challenges.
Analysis Article Nov 04

Earnings Working Against G8 Education Limited's (ASX:GEM) Share Price

G8 Education Limited's ( ASX:GEM ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 7.6x might make it look like a strong buy...
Narrative Update Nov 04

GEM: Occupancy Recovery Forecast Will Drive Long-Term Upside Despite Near-Term Risks

G8 Education Price Target Lowered Amid Uncertain Near-Term Outlook Analysts have reduced their price target for G8 Education from A$1.10 to A$0.98. They cite a challenging operating environment and heightened uncertainty over potential liabilities as key factors behind a more cautious valuation.
Analysis Article Aug 29

Analysts Have Been Trimming Their G8 Education Limited (ASX:GEM) Price Target After Its Latest Report

G8 Education Limited ( ASX:GEM ) shareholders are probably feeling a little disappointed, since its shares fell 7.6% to...
Narrative Update Aug 27

Government Investment In Kindergarten Programs Will Drive Higher Occupancy Rates

Analysts have revised G8 Education’s price target down from A$1.36 to A$1.15, citing delayed occupancy improvements, heightened legal and reputational risks, and increased uncertainty in the near-term outlook. Analyst Commentary Analysts see improvement in occupancy rates likely not materializing until calendar year 2026.
Analysis Article Jul 21

Earnings Working Against G8 Education Limited's (ASX:GEM) Share Price Following 25% Dive

The G8 Education Limited ( ASX:GEM ) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial...
Analysis Article Mar 03

G8 Education (ASX:GEM) Will Pay A Larger Dividend Than Last Year At A$0.035

G8 Education Limited ( ASX:GEM ) has announced that it will be increasing its periodic dividend on the 3rd of April to...
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New Narrative Feb 09

Optimizing Childcare Portfolio And Digital Adoption Will Boost Future Earnings

Portfolio optimization and fee increases should improve occupancy, revenue, and net margins, boosting overall earnings.
Analysis Article Aug 23

G8 Education Limited Just Missed EPS By 18%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Shareholders might have noticed that G8 Education Limited ( ASX:GEM ) filed its half-yearly result this time last week...
Analysis Article Mar 05

G8 Education (ASX:GEM) Is Paying Out A Larger Dividend Than Last Year

The board of G8 Education Limited ( ASX:GEM ) has announced that the dividend on 4th of April will be increased to...
Analysis Article Dec 19

Be Wary Of G8 Education (ASX:GEM) And Its Returns On Capital

Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? One common approach...
Analysis Article Oct 26

If EPS Growth Is Important To You, G8 Education (ASX:GEM) Presents An Opportunity

For beginners, it can seem like a good idea (and an exciting prospect) to buy a company that tells a good story to...
Analysis Article Aug 28

G8 Education (ASX:GEM) Has Announced That It Will Be Increasing Its Dividend To A$0.015

G8 Education Limited's ( ASX:GEM ) dividend will be increasing from last year's payment of the same period to A$0.015...
Analysis Article Dec 14

Here's Why G8 Education (ASX:GEM) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...
Analysis Article May 18

A Look At The Fair Value Of G8 Education Limited (ASX:GEM)

How far off is G8 Education Limited ( ASX:GEM ) from its intrinsic value? Using the most recent financial data, we'll...
Analysis Article Apr 13

Should You Think About Buying G8 Education Limited (ASX:GEM) Now?

While G8 Education Limited ( ASX:GEM ) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it saw significant share...
Analysis Article Feb 22

Some Investors May Be Worried About G8 Education's (ASX:GEM) Returns On Capital

What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term? One...
Analysis Article Oct 08

We Think G8 Education (ASX:GEM) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...
Analysis Article Sep 17

Is It Time To Consider Buying G8 Education Limited (ASX:GEM)?

While G8 Education Limited ( ASX:GEM ) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it saw a decent share...
Analysis Article May 02

G8 Education Limited (ASX:GEM) Shares Could Be 28% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

Does the May share price for G8 Education Limited ( ASX:GEM ) reflect what it's really worth? Today, we will estimate...
Analysis Article Apr 10

We Think G8 Education (ASX:GEM) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...
Analysis Article Mar 11

Here's What To Make Of G8 Education's (ASX:GEM) Returns On Capital

If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Typically, we'll want to notice a...

Revenue & Expenses Breakdown

How G8 Education makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.


Earnings and Revenue History

ASX:GEM Revenue, expenses and earnings (AUD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsG+A ExpensesR&D Expenses
31 Dec 25947-3035800
30 Sep 25973-1175940
30 Jun 25999706070
31 Mar 251,007696150
31 Dec 241,015686230
30 Sep 241,012646210
30 Jun 241,009616180
31 Mar 24996596120
31 Dec 23983566050
30 Sep 23962505950
30 Jun 23940435860
31 Mar 23921405740
31 Dec 22901375630
30 Sep 22881345530
30 Jun 22861315430
31 Mar 22864385410
31 Dec 21866465400
30 Sep 21878626170
30 Jun 21890796930
31 Mar 21833-555620
31 Dec 20776-1894310
30 Sep 20786-2002200
30 Jun 20795-21190
31 Mar 20856-80120
31 Dec 1991752150
30 Sep 1990360390
30 Jun 1989067620
31 Mar 1987369850
31 Dec 18856721090
30 Sep 18839731060
30 Jun 18822741030
31 Mar 18809771000
31 Dec 1779681980
30 Sep 1779083950
30 Jun 1778586930
31 Mar 1778083910
31 Dec 1677580880
30 Sep 1675883860
30 Jun 1674085840
31 Mar 1671387810
31 Dec 1568789780
30 Sep 1564377740
30 Jun 1559965700

Quality Earnings: GEM is currently unprofitable.

Growing Profit Margin: GEM is currently unprofitable.


Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: GEM is unprofitable, and losses have increased over the past 5 years at a rate of 8.4% per year.

Accelerating Growth: Unable to compare GEM's earnings growth over the past year to its 5-year average as it is currently unprofitable

Earnings vs Industry: GEM is unprofitable, making it difficult to compare its past year earnings growth to the Consumer Services industry (-0.9%).


Return on Equity

High ROE: GEM has a negative Return on Equity (-57.7%), as it is currently unprofitable.


Return on Assets


Return on Capital Employed


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/31 11:56
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/29 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

G8 Education Limited is covered by 12 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Silvia SpadeaBofA Global Research
Cameron BellCanaccord Genuity
Scott HudsonCLSA