Stock Analysis

Market Still Lacking Some Conviction On Experience Co Limited (ASX:EXP)

ASX:EXP
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When you see that almost half of the companies in the Hospitality industry in Australia have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.4x, Experience Co Limited (ASX:EXP) looks to be giving off some buy signals with its 0.9x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

View our latest analysis for Experience Co

ps-multiple-vs-industry
ASX:EXP Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 8th 2024

How Experience Co Has Been Performing

Experience Co certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to dive, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Experience Co will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is Experience Co's Revenue Growth Trending?

Experience Co's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 35% gain to the company's top line. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 152% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 20% during the coming year according to the four analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 8.7% growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Experience Co's P/S sits behind most of its industry peers. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.

What Does Experience Co's P/S Mean For Investors?

We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Experience Co's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook isn't contributing to its P/S anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. The reason for this depressed P/S could potentially be found in the risks the market is pricing in. At least price risks look to be very low, but investors seem to think future revenues could see a lot of volatility.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 1 warning sign for Experience Co that you need to be mindful of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Experience Co is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.