Stock Analysis

We Think EDU Holdings' (ASX:EDU) Profit Is Only A Baseline For What They Can Achieve

ASX:EDU
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When companies post strong earnings, the stock generally performs well, just like EDU Holdings Limited's (ASX:EDU) stock has recently. We have done some analysis, and we found several positive factors beyond the profit numbers.

See our latest analysis for EDU Holdings

earnings-and-revenue-history
ASX:EDU Earnings and Revenue History March 4th 2025

Examining Cashflow Against EDU Holdings' Earnings

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

For the year to December 2024, EDU Holdings had an accrual ratio of -0.77. That indicates that its free cash flow quite significantly exceeded its statutory profit. To wit, it produced free cash flow of AU$9.1m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of AU$2.60m. EDU Holdings' free cash flow improved over the last year, which is generally good to see.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of EDU Holdings.

Our Take On EDU Holdings' Profit Performance

Happily for shareholders, EDU Holdings produced plenty of free cash flow to back up its statutory profit numbers. Based on this observation, we consider it possible that EDU Holdings' statutory profit actually understates its earnings potential! And it's also positive that the company showed enough improvement to book a profit this year, after losing money last year. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. Our analysis shows 2 warning signs for EDU Holdings (1 is a bit concerning!) and we strongly recommend you look at them before investing.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of EDU Holdings' profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if EDU Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.