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Crown Resorts Valuation

Is CWN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CWN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CWN (A$13.09) is trading above our estimate of fair value (A$13.01)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CWN is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CWN?

Key metric: As CWN is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for CWN. This is calculated by dividing CWN's market cap by their current revenue.
What is CWN's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio5.1x
SalesAU$1.73b
Market CapAU$8.86b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does CWN's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for CWN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2.5x
TLC Lottery
2.9x2.8%AU$11.4b
TAH Tabcorp Holdings
0.5x3.9%AU$1.2b
ALL Aristocrat Leisure
6.3x4.0%AU$41.8b
SGR Star Entertainment Group
0.4x-0.7%AU$587.6m
CWN Crown Resorts
5.1x12.2%AU$8.9b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: CWN is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (5.1x) compared to the peer average (2.5x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does CWN's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Hospitality Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
OLI Oliver's Real Food
0.2xn/aUS$3.15m
MCL Mighty Craft
0.02xn/aUS$1.26m
No more companies available in this PS range
CWN 5.1xIndustry Avg. 1.5xNo. of Companies4PS012345+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: CWN is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (5.1x) compared to the Australian Hospitality industry average (2.5x)


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CWN's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CWN PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio5.1x
Fair PS Ratio6.1x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: CWN is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (5.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (6.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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