Cleanaway Waste Management Limited

CHIA:CWY Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$6.4b

Cleanaway Waste Management Valuation

Is CWY undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CWY when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CWY (A$2.87) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$3.19)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CWY is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CWY?

Key metric: As CWY is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CWY. This is calculated by dividing CWY's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CWY's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio40.9x
EarningsAU$156.60m
Market CapAU$6.40b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CWY's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CWY vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average55.7x
SPZ Smart Parking
84.5x30.1%AU$311.6m
DOW Downer EDI
69.1x22.0%AU$3.9b
ARA Ariadne Australia
58.5xn/aAU$91.9m
CLG Close the Loop
10.9x14.7%AU$119.7m
CWY Cleanaway Waste Management
40.9x15.9%AU$6.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CWY is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (40.9x) compared to the peer average (55.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CWY's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Commercial Services Industry?

20 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
CWY 40.9xIndustry Avg. 17.4xNo. of Companies81PE01224364860+
20 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CWY is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (40.9x) compared to the Global Commercial Services industry average (17.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CWY's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CWY PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio40.9x
Fair PE Ratio22.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CWY is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (40.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CWY forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$2.87
AU$3.09
+7.6%
10.6%AU$3.40AU$2.30n/a13
Nov ’25AU$2.71
AU$3.09
+14.2%
10.6%AU$3.40AU$2.30n/a13
Oct ’25AU$2.90
AU$3.08
+6.3%
10.2%AU$3.40AU$2.30n/a14
Sep ’25AU$2.88
AU$3.04
+5.7%
11.1%AU$3.40AU$2.30n/a15
Aug ’25AU$2.82
AU$2.89
+2.8%
10.4%AU$3.20AU$2.30n/a15
Jul ’25AU$2.75
AU$2.88
+5.1%
10.4%AU$3.20AU$2.30n/a15
Jun ’25AU$2.80
AU$2.88
+3.0%
10.3%AU$3.20AU$2.30n/a15
May ’25AU$2.68
AU$2.80
+4.7%
10.7%AU$3.20AU$2.20n/a15
Apr ’25AU$2.72
AU$2.80
+2.9%
10.7%AU$3.20AU$2.20n/a15
Mar ’25AU$2.60
AU$2.78
+6.9%
10.7%AU$3.20AU$2.20n/a14
Feb ’25AU$2.62
AU$2.74
+4.6%
10.9%AU$3.20AU$2.20n/a13
Jan ’25AU$2.70
AU$2.74
+1.5%
10.7%AU$3.20AU$2.20n/a13
Dec ’24AU$2.47
AU$2.72
+10.2%
11.0%AU$3.20AU$2.20n/a14
Nov ’24AU$2.29
AU$2.72
+18.6%
11.0%AU$3.20AU$2.20AU$2.7114
Oct ’24AU$2.43
AU$2.75
+13.3%
10.6%AU$3.20AU$2.20AU$2.9014
Sep ’24AU$2.64
AU$2.74
+3.9%
10.6%AU$3.20AU$2.20AU$2.8815
Aug ’24AU$2.76
AU$2.77
+0.5%
11.8%AU$3.20AU$2.20AU$2.8215
Jul ’24AU$2.57
AU$2.78
+8.3%
11.5%AU$3.20AU$2.20AU$2.7515
Jun ’24AU$2.63
AU$2.80
+6.4%
11.2%AU$3.20AU$2.20AU$2.8015
May ’24AU$2.42
AU$2.83
+16.9%
10.7%AU$3.20AU$2.20AU$2.6814
Apr ’24AU$2.38
AU$2.82
+18.8%
10.8%AU$3.20AU$2.20AU$2.7214
Mar ’24AU$2.62
AU$2.84
+8.4%
9.0%AU$3.20AU$2.20AU$2.6016
Feb ’24AU$2.75
AU$2.89
+5.1%
9.3%AU$3.37AU$2.30AU$2.6216
Jan ’24AU$2.63
AU$2.86
+8.7%
8.9%AU$3.37AU$2.30AU$2.7015
Dec ’23AU$2.75
AU$2.86
+4.0%
8.9%AU$3.37AU$2.30AU$2.4715
Nov ’23AU$2.76
AU$2.84
+2.9%
9.4%AU$3.37AU$2.30AU$2.2914

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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