Ariadne Australia Valuation

Is ARA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ARA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ARA (A$0.48) is trading above our estimate of fair value (A$0.21)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ARA is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ARA?

Key metric: As ARA is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ARA. This is calculated by dividing ARA's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ARA's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	59.7x
Earnings	AU$1.57m
Market Cap	AU$93.81m

ARA key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	10.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	21.6x
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ARA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ARA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	31.1x
CLG Close the Loop	10.4x	14.7%	AU$114.3m
SPZ Smart Parking	87.3x	30.1%	AU$322.0m
BSA BSA	4x	-9.8%	AU$74.8m
MIL Millennium Services Group	22.8x	51.8%	AU$54.0m
ARA Ariadne Australia	59.7x	n/a	AU$93.8m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ARA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (59.7x) compared to the peer average (31.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ARA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Commercial Services Industry?

19 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap

19 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ARA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (59.7x) compared to the Global Commercial Services industry average (17.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ARA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ARA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	59.7x
Fair PE Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate ARA's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.