Stock Analysis

SG Fleet Group (ASX:SGF) Is Increasing Its Dividend To A$0.096

ASX:SGF
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The board of SG Fleet Group Limited (ASX:SGF) has announced that the dividend on 20th of March will be increased to A$0.096, which will be 7.7% higher than last year's payment of A$0.0891 which covered the same period. This makes the dividend yield 5.8%, which is above the industry average.

See our latest analysis for SG Fleet Group

SG Fleet Group's Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage

While it is great to have a strong dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is sustainable. Prior to this announcement, SG Fleet Group's dividend was making up a very large proportion of earnings, and the company was also not generating any cash flow to offset this. This is a pretty unsustainable practice, and could be risky if continued for the long term.

Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 73.5%. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 43%, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.

historic-dividend
ASX:SGF Historic Dividend February 22nd 2024

Dividend Volatility

The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least one cut in the last 10 years. The annual payment during the last 10 years was A$0.04 in 2014, and the most recent fiscal year payment was A$0.162. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 15% over that duration. Despite the rapid growth in the dividend over the past number of years, we have seen the payments go down the past as well, so that makes us cautious.

Dividend Growth May Be Hard To Achieve

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. Unfortunately, SG Fleet Group's earnings per share has been essentially flat over the past five years, which means the dividend may not be increased each year.

SG Fleet Group's Dividend Doesn't Look Sustainable

Overall, we always like to see the dividend being raised, but we don't think SG Fleet Group will make a great income stock. While the low payout ratio is a redeeming feature, this is offset by the minimal cash to cover the payments. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. For example, we've identified 2 warning signs for SG Fleet Group (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of before investing. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.