Stock Analysis

Investors Holding Back On AVADA Group Limited (ASX:AVD)

AVADA Group Limited's (ASX:AVD) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Commercial Services industry in Australia, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 1.6x and even P/S above 4x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

View our latest analysis for AVADA Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
ASX:AVD Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 2nd 2023
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What Does AVADA Group's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, AVADA Group has been doing relatively well. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this strong revenue performance might be less impressive moving forward. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on AVADA Group.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, AVADA Group would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 143%. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 66% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 11% each year during the coming three years according to the sole analyst following the company. With the industry only predicted to deliver 7.9% each year, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.

With this information, we find it odd that AVADA Group is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Key Takeaway

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

AVADA Group's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook isn't contributing to its P/S anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. When we see strong growth forecasts like this, we can only assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/S ratio. While the possibility of the share price plunging seems unlikely due to the high growth forecasted for the company, the market does appear to have some hesitation.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for AVADA Group you should know about.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About ASX:AVD

AVADA Group

Provides traffic management and ancillary services in Australia and New Zealand.

Good value with adequate balance sheet.

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