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Aquirian Limited's (ASX:AQN) Shares Leap 27% Yet They're Still Not Telling The Full Story
The Aquirian Limited (ASX:AQN) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 27%. The last month tops off a massive increase of 121% in the last year.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Aquirian's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.6x is worth a mention when it essentially matches the median P/S in Australia's Professional Services industry. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
See our latest analysis for Aquirian
What Does Aquirian's Recent Performance Look Like?
Revenue has risen firmly for Aquirian recently, which is pleasing to see. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to wane, which has kept the P/S from rising. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders probably aren't too pessimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Aquirian, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Aquirian?
Aquirian's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 13% last year. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see revenue up by 49% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
When compared to the industry's one-year growth forecast of 4.0%, the most recent medium-term revenue trajectory is noticeably more alluring
With this information, we find it interesting that Aquirian is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance is at its limits and have been accepting lower selling prices.
The Bottom Line On Aquirian's P/S
Its shares have lifted substantially and now Aquirian's P/S is back within range of the industry median. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
To our surprise, Aquirian revealed its three-year revenue trends aren't contributing to its P/S as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current industry expectations. When we see strong revenue with faster-than-industry growth, we can only assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/S ratio. While recent revenue trends over the past medium-term suggest that the risk of a price decline is low, investors appear to see the likelihood of revenue fluctuations in the future.
Plus, you should also learn about these 4 warning signs we've spotted with Aquirian (including 2 which shouldn't be ignored).
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ASX:AQN
Aquirian
Engages in manufacture and supply of energetics, development of technology and innovative products, provision of equipment, onsite field services, workforce and training solutions to the mining and resources industry in Australia.
Slight risk with imperfect balance sheet.
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