Stock Analysis

How Does ALS's (ASX:ALQ) P/E Compare To Its Industry, After The Share Price Drop?

ASX:ALQ
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Unfortunately for some shareholders, the ALS (ASX:ALQ) share price has dived 44% in the last thirty days. Indeed the recent decline has arguably caused some bitterness for shareholders who have held through the 34% drop over twelve months.

Assuming nothing else has changed, a lower share price makes a stock more attractive to potential buyers. In the long term, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, but in the short term prices bounce around in response to short term factors (which are not always obvious). The implication here is that long term investors have an opportunity when expectations of a company are too low. One way to gauge market expectations of a stock is to look at its Price to Earnings Ratio (PE Ratio). A high P/E ratio means that investors have a high expectation about future growth, while a low P/E ratio means they have low expectations about future growth.

Check out our latest analysis for ALS

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Does ALS Have A Relatively High Or Low P/E For Its Industry?

We can tell from its P/E ratio of 14.83 that there is some investor optimism about ALS. You can see in the image below that the average P/E (10.3) for companies in the professional services industry is lower than ALS's P/E.

ASX:ALQ Price Estimation Relative to Market March 26th 2020
ASX:ALQ Price Estimation Relative to Market March 26th 2020

Its relatively high P/E ratio indicates that ALS shareholders think it will perform better than other companies in its industry classification. Shareholders are clearly optimistic, but the future is always uncertain. So investors should delve deeper. I like to check if company insiders have been buying or selling.

How Growth Rates Impact P/E Ratios

Generally speaking the rate of earnings growth has a profound impact on a company's P/E multiple. Earnings growth means that in the future the 'E' will be higher. That means unless the share price increases, the P/E will reduce in a few years. And as that P/E ratio drops, the company will look cheap, unless its share price increases.

Most would be impressed by ALS earnings growth of 13% in the last year. And it has bolstered its earnings per share by 3.5% per year over the last five years. So one might expect an above average P/E ratio.

Remember: P/E Ratios Don't Consider The Balance Sheet

The 'Price' in P/E reflects the market capitalization of the company. So it won't reflect the advantage of cash, or disadvantage of debt. The exact same company would hypothetically deserve a higher P/E ratio if it had a strong balance sheet, than if it had a weak one with lots of debt, because a cashed up company can spend on growth.

While growth expenditure doesn't always pay off, the point is that it is a good option to have; but one that the P/E ratio ignores.

So What Does ALS's Balance Sheet Tell Us?

ALS has net debt equal to 31% of its market cap. While that's enough to warrant consideration, it doesn't really concern us.

The Bottom Line On ALS's P/E Ratio

ALS's P/E is 14.8 which is above average (12.5) in its market. The company is not overly constrained by its modest debt levels, and its recent EPS growth very solid. Therefore, it's not particularly surprising that it has a above average P/E ratio. Given ALS's P/E ratio has declined from 26.5 to 14.8 in the last month, we know for sure that the market is significantly less confident about the business today, than it was back then. For those who don't like to trade against momentum, that could be a warning sign, but a contrarian investor might want to take a closer look.

Investors should be looking to buy stocks that the market is wrong about. If the reality for a company is better than it expects, you can make money by buying and holding for the long term. So this free visual report on analyst forecasts could hold the key to an excellent investment decision.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with modest (or no) debt, trading on a P/E below 20.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.

About ASX:ALQ

ALS

Engages in the provision of professional technical services primarily in the areas of testing, measurement, and inspection in Africa, Asia Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, North Africa, and the United States.

Solid track record and fair value.

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