SRG Global Limited

CHIA:SRG Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$794.1m

SRG Global Valuation

Is SRG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SRG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SRG (A$1.32) is trading above our estimate of fair value (A$1.25)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SRG is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SRG?

Key metric: As SRG is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SRG. This is calculated by dividing SRG's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SRG's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio23.1x
EarningsAU$34.44m
Market CapAU$794.14m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SRG's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SRG vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average21x
TEA Tasmea
20.3x21.8%AU$585.7m
SSM Service Stream
31.1x15.4%AU$1.0b
JLG Johns Lyng Group
25x11.9%AU$1.2b
LYL Lycopodium
7.8xn/aAU$393.3m
SRG SRG Global
23.1x15.3%AU$794.1m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SRG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.1x) compared to the peer average (21x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SRG's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Construction Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
SRG 23.1xIndustry Avg. 15.0xNo. of Companies3PE0816243240+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SRG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.1x) compared to the Global Construction industry average (15x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SRG's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SRG PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio23.1x
Fair PE Ratio20.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SRG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SRG forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$1.32
AU$1.32
0%
12.6%AU$1.55AU$1.13n/a4
Nov ’25AU$1.16
AU$1.28
+11.0%
9.4%AU$1.40AU$1.13n/a4
Oct ’25AU$1.10
AU$1.28
+16.6%
9.4%AU$1.40AU$1.13n/a4
Sep ’25AU$1.09
AU$1.28
+18.2%
9.4%AU$1.40AU$1.13n/a4
Aug ’25AU$0.93
AU$1.20
+28.5%
11.0%AU$1.35AU$1.06n/a4
Jul ’25AU$0.83
AU$1.10
+32.8%
13.8%AU$1.30AU$0.95n/a4
Jun ’25AU$0.88
AU$1.10
+25.3%
13.8%AU$1.30AU$0.95n/a4
May ’25AU$0.82
AU$1.04
+25.7%
11.1%AU$1.20AU$0.95n/a3
Apr ’25AU$0.81
AU$1.04
+28.8%
11.1%AU$1.20AU$0.95n/a3
Mar ’25AU$0.77
AU$1.04
+34.6%
11.1%AU$1.20AU$0.95n/a3
Feb ’25AU$0.68
AU$1.01
+49.0%
9.7%AU$1.15AU$0.92n/a3
Jan ’25AU$0.68
AU$1.01
+49.0%
9.7%AU$1.15AU$0.92n/a3
Dec ’24AU$0.66
AU$1.06
+61.8%
8.5%AU$1.15AU$0.97n/a2
Nov ’24AU$0.62
AU$1.06
+71.0%
8.5%AU$1.15AU$0.97AU$1.162
Oct ’24AU$0.65
AU$1.08
+65.4%
7.0%AU$1.15AU$1.00AU$1.102
Sep ’24AU$0.69
AU$1.08
+54.7%
7.0%AU$1.15AU$1.00AU$1.092
Aug ’24AU$0.74
AU$1.05
+40.9%
4.8%AU$1.10AU$1.00AU$0.932
Jul ’24AU$0.74
AU$1.05
+40.9%
4.8%AU$1.10AU$1.00AU$0.832
Jun ’24AU$0.68
AU$1.05
+55.6%
4.8%AU$1.10AU$1.00AU$0.882

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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