Duratec Limited

CHIA:DUR Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$544.7m

Duratec Valuation

Is DUR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of DUR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: DUR (A$2.13) is trading above our estimate of future cash flow value (A$0.94)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: DUR is trading above our estimate of future cash flow value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DUR?

Key metric: As DUR is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for DUR. This is calculated by dividing DUR's market cap by their current earnings.
What is DUR's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio22.9x
EarningsAU$23.76m
Market CapAU$544.72m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does DUR's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for DUR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average18.2x
SHA SHAPE Australia
18.9x8.63%AU$599.4m
LYL Lycopodium
22.2x11.88%AU$890.8m
SYL Symal Group
14.9x17.10%AU$638.5m
CVL Civmec
16.9x9.99%AU$879.1m
DUR Duratec
22.9x15.43%AU$544.7m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: DUR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.9x) compared to the peer average (18.2x).

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does DUR's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Construction Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
RDG Resource Development Group
1.4xn/aUS$15.45m
AJL AJ Lucas Group
0.3xn/aUS$5.88m
No more companies available in this PE range
DUR 22.9xIndustry Avg. 13.4xNo. of Companies4PE01224364860+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: DUR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.9x) compared to the Global Construction industry average (13.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is DUR's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

DUR PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio22.9x
Fair PE Ratio19.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: DUR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst DUR forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$2.13
AU$2.90
+35.92%
4.36%AU$3.10AU$2.70n/a6
Sep ’27AU$2.09
AU$2.90
+38.52%
4.36%AU$3.10AU$2.70n/a6
Aug ’27AU$2.12
AU$2.98
+40.47%
3.26%AU$3.10AU$2.85n/a5
Jul ’27AU$2.51
AU$2.98
+18.65%
3.26%AU$3.10AU$2.85n/a5
Jun ’27AU$2.54
AU$2.90
+14.09%
8.13%AU$3.10AU$2.45n/a5
May ’27AU$2.75
AU$2.90
+5.27%
9.09%AU$3.10AU$2.45n/a4
Apr ’27AU$2.70
AU$2.40
-10.80%
15.45%AU$3.00AU$1.90n/a5
Mar ’27AU$2.09
AU$2.21
+5.84%
10.03%AU$2.52AU$1.90n/a5
Feb ’27AU$2.17
AU$1.97
-9.03%
5.37%AU$2.10AU$1.83n/a5
Jan ’27AU$1.92
AU$1.97
+2.81%
5.37%AU$2.10AU$1.83n/a5
Dec ’26AU$1.77
AU$1.97
+11.53%
5.37%AU$2.10AU$1.83n/a5
Nov ’26AU$2.13
AU$1.97
-7.51%
7.08%AU$2.20AU$1.83n/a4
Oct ’26AU$2.14
AU$1.90
-11.45%
2.25%AU$1.95AU$1.83n/a4
Sep ’26AU$1.79
AU$1.90
+6.16%
2.25%AU$1.95AU$1.83AU$2.094
Aug ’26AU$1.47
AU$1.81
+23.21%
3.54%AU$1.90AU$1.72AU$2.124
Jul ’26AU$1.44
AU$1.76
+22.30%
6.26%AU$1.90AU$1.60AU$2.514
Jun ’26AU$1.51
AU$1.76
+16.23%
6.26%AU$1.90AU$1.60AU$2.544
May ’26AU$1.72
AU$1.93
+12.34%
1.07%AU$1.95AU$1.90AU$2.753
Apr ’26AU$1.69
AU$1.93
+14.34%
1.07%AU$1.95AU$1.90AU$2.703
Mar ’26AU$1.59
AU$1.88
+17.92%
4.87%AU$1.95AU$1.72AU$2.094
Feb ’26AU$1.54
AU$1.70
+10.59%
7.82%AU$1.90AU$1.56AU$2.174
Jan ’26AU$1.51
AU$1.70
+12.79%
7.82%AU$1.90AU$1.56AU$1.924
Dec ’25AU$1.52
AU$1.70
+12.05%
7.82%AU$1.90AU$1.56AU$1.774
Nov ’25AU$1.63
AU$1.62
-0.77%
10.69%AU$1.90AU$1.43AU$2.134
Oct ’25AU$1.37
AU$1.52
+11.17%
3.85%AU$1.58AU$1.43AU$2.144
Sep ’25AU$1.27
AU$1.50
+18.77%
3.13%AU$1.56AU$1.43AU$1.794
AU$2.92
Fair Value
27.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
6
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/09/15 07:53
End of Day Share Price 2026/09/15 00:00
Earnings2026/06/30
Annual Earnings2026/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Duratec Limited is covered by 6 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Marcus BarnardBell Potter
Lindsay BettiolGoldman Sachs
Matthew ChenMA Moelis Australia Securities Pty Ltd