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Quickstep Holdings (ASX:QHL) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Quickstep Holdings Limited (ASX:QHL) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Quickstep Holdings
What Is Quickstep Holdings's Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Quickstep Holdings had AU$6.26m of debt in December 2020, down from AU$8.84m, one year before. However, it also had AU$2.60m in cash, and so its net debt is AU$3.66m.
A Look At Quickstep Holdings' Liabilities
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Quickstep Holdings had liabilities of AU$18.3m falling due within a year, and liabilities of AU$20.3m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had AU$2.60m in cash and AU$13.7m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total AU$22.3m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Quickstep Holdings has a market capitalization of AU$48.7m, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Given net debt is only 0.61 times EBITDA, it is initially surprising to see that Quickstep Holdings's EBIT has low interest coverage of 2.3 times. So one way or the other, it's clear the debt levels are not trivial. Unfortunately, Quickstep Holdings saw its EBIT slide 9.5% in the last twelve months. If that earnings trend continues then its debt load will grow heavy like the heart of a polar bear watching its sole cub. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Quickstep Holdings can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, Quickstep Holdings saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
Our View
Mulling over Quickstep Holdings's attempt at converting EBIT to free cash flow, we're certainly not enthusiastic. But at least it's pretty decent at managing its debt, based on its EBITDA,; that's encouraging. Overall, we think it's fair to say that Quickstep Holdings has enough debt that there are some real risks around the balance sheet. If everything goes well that may pay off but the downside of this debt is a greater risk of permanent losses. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Quickstep Holdings that you should be aware of before investing here.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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About ASX:QHL
Quickstep Holdings
Manufactures and sells advanced composites for the defense and commercial aerospace, automotive, and other industry sectors in Australia, the United Kingdom, and the United States.
Good value with adequate balance sheet.