MAAS Group Holdings Limited Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now

It's been a good week for MAAS Group Holdings Limited (ASX:MGH) shareholders, because the company has just released its latest yearly results, and the shares gained 5.0% to AU$4.45. Statutory earnings per share of AU$0.21 unfortunately missed expectations by 11%, although it was encouraging to see revenues of AU$1.0b exceed expectations by 2.6%. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.

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Taking into account the latest results, the consensus forecast from MAAS Group Holdings' six analysts is for revenues of AU$1.22b in 2026. This reflects a meaningful 17% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to leap 42% to AU$0.28. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of AU$1.23b and earnings per share (EPS) of AU$0.30 in 2026. So it looks like there's been a small decline in overall sentiment after the recent results - there's been no major change to revenue estimates, but the analysts did make a minor downgrade to their earnings per share forecasts.

View our latest analysis for MAAS Group Holdings

The consensus price target held steady at AU$4.90, with the analysts seemingly voting that their lower forecast earnings are not expected to lead to a lower stock price in the foreseeable future. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. The most optimistic MAAS Group Holdings analyst has a price target of AU$5.45 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at AU$3.80. This shows there is still a bit of diversity in estimates, but analysts don't appear to be totally split on the stock as though it might be a success or failure situation.

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that MAAS Group Holdings' revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2026 expected to display 17% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 30% over the past five years. Juxtapose this against the other companies in the industry with analyst coverage, which are forecast to grow their revenues (in aggregate) 6.7% per year. So it's pretty clear that, while MAAS Group Holdings' revenue growth is expected to slow, it's still expected to grow faster than the industry itself.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that the analysts downgraded their earnings per share estimates, showing that there has been a clear decline in sentiment following these results. Fortunately, they also reconfirmed their revenue numbers, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Additionally, our data suggests that revenue is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at AU$4.90, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have forecasts for MAAS Group Holdings going out to 2028, and you can see them free on our platform here.

Before you take the next step you should know about the 2 warning signs for MAAS Group Holdings (1 is significant!) that we have uncovered.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.