Stock Analysis

Lycopodium's (ASX:LYL) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

ASX:LYL
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Lycopodium Limited (ASX:LYL) will increase its dividend from last year's comparable payment on the 6th of October to A$0.45. This makes the dividend yield 8.7%, which is above the industry average.

Check out our latest analysis for Lycopodium

Lycopodium's Dividend Is Well Covered By Earnings

Impressive dividend yields are good, but this doesn't matter much if the payments can't be sustained. Based on the last dividend, Lycopodium is earning enough to cover the payment, but then it makes up 249% of cash flows. This signals that the company is more focused on returning cash flow to shareholders, but it could mean that the dividend is exposed to cuts in the future.

Over the next year, EPS could expand by 20.4% if recent trends continue. If the dividend continues on this path, the payout ratio could be 65% by next year, which we think can be pretty sustainable going forward.

historic-dividend
ASX:LYL Historic Dividend August 26th 2023

Dividend Volatility

The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. Since 2013, the annual payment back then was A$0.33, compared to the most recent full-year payment of A$0.90. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 11% per annum over that time. Dividends have grown rapidly over this time, but with cuts in the past we are not certain that this stock will be a reliable source of income in the future.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. We are encouraged to see that Lycopodium has grown earnings per share at 20% per year over the past five years. The company's earnings per share has grown rapidly in recent years, and it has a good balance between reinvesting and paying dividends to shareholders, so we think that Lycopodium could prove to be a strong dividend payer.

Our Thoughts On Lycopodium's Dividend

Overall, we always like to see the dividend being raised, but we don't think Lycopodium will make a great income stock. With cash flows lacking, it is difficult to see how the company can sustain a dividend payment. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. For instance, we've picked out 1 warning sign for Lycopodium that investors should take into consideration. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.