IPD Group Valuation

Is IPG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of IPG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: IPG (A$4.62) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$5.21)

Significantly Below Fair Value: IPG is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for IPG?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

IPG key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.8x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA15.2x
PEG Ratio1x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does IPG's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for IPG vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average13.3x
EHL Emeco Holdings
6.5x12.1%AU$377.3m
ACF Acrow
13.1x16.0%AU$329.3m
RDX Redox
19.9x10.6%AU$1.7b
HNG Hancock & Gore
13.7xn/aAU$112.4m
IPG IPD Group
27.1x26.0%AU$477.6m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: IPG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.1x) compared to the peer average (13.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does IPG's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Trade Distributors Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a14.3%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a14.3%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: IPG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.1x) compared to the Global Trade Distributors industry average (14.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is IPG's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

IPG PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio27.1x
Fair PE Ratio24.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: IPG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst IPG forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$4.62
AU$5.68
+23.0%
2.9%AU$5.90AU$5.50n/a3
Apr ’25AU$4.81
AU$5.68
+18.2%
2.9%AU$5.90AU$5.50n/a3
Mar ’25AU$4.75
AU$5.68
+19.6%
2.9%AU$5.90AU$5.50n/a3
Feb ’25AU$4.80
AU$5.38
+12.2%
5.3%AU$5.75AU$5.05n/a3
Jan ’25AU$4.82
AU$5.38
+11.7%
5.3%AU$5.75AU$5.05n/a3
Dec ’24AU$4.74
AU$5.15
+8.6%
5.0%AU$5.50AU$4.90n/a3
Nov ’24AU$3.69
AU$5.26
+42.5%
3.9%AU$5.50AU$5.00n/a3
Oct ’24AU$4.95
AU$5.26
+6.2%
3.9%AU$5.50AU$5.00n/a3
Sep ’24AU$4.45
AU$5.26
+18.1%
3.9%AU$5.50AU$5.00n/a3
Aug ’24AU$4.73
AU$5.04
+6.6%
8.2%AU$5.50AU$4.50n/a3
Jul ’24AU$4.29
AU$4.25
-0.9%
5.9%AU$4.50AU$4.00n/a2
Jun ’24AU$3.76
AU$3.80
+1.1%
5.2%AU$4.00AU$3.60n/a2
May ’24AU$3.84
AU$3.80
-1.0%
5.2%AU$4.00AU$3.60AU$4.552
Apr ’24AU$3.49
AU$3.55
+1.8%
1.4%AU$3.60AU$3.50AU$4.812
Mar ’24AU$3.05
AU$3.55
+16.4%
1.4%AU$3.60AU$3.50AU$4.752
Feb ’24AU$2.84
AU$3.44
+21.1%
2.6%AU$3.53AU$3.35AU$4.802
Jan ’24AU$2.97
AU$3.44
+15.8%
2.6%AU$3.53AU$3.35AU$4.822
Dec ’23AU$3.23
AU$3.44
+6.5%
2.6%AU$3.53AU$3.35AU$4.742
Nov ’23AU$2.40
AU$2.39
-0.6%
5.7%AU$2.52AU$2.25AU$3.692
Oct ’23AU$2.09
AU$2.39
+14.1%
5.7%AU$2.52AU$2.25AU$4.952
Sep ’23AU$1.98
AU$2.39
+20.5%
5.7%AU$2.52AU$2.25AU$4.452
Aug ’23AU$2.00
AU$2.24
+11.7%
3.8%AU$2.32AU$2.15AU$4.732

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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