Acrow Valuation

Is ACF undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ACF when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ACF (A$1.07) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$1.73)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ACF is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ACF?

Key metric: As ACF is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ACF. This is calculated by dividing ACF's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ACF's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio12.9x
EarningsAU$25.35m
Market CapAU$332.29m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ACF's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ACF vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14.9x
EHL Emeco Holdings
8x11.2%AU$416.6m
IPG IPD Group
20.3x15.7%AU$486.3m
BOL Boom Logistics
8.9xn/aAU$56.9m
RDX Redox
22.5x9.1%AU$2.0b
ACF Acrow
12.9x12.5%AU$332.3m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ACF is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.9x) compared to the peer average (14.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ACF's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Trade Distributors Industry?

22 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ACF 12.9xIndustry Avg. 14.6xNo. of Companies87PE01224364860+
22 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ACF is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.9x) compared to the Global Trade Distributors industry average (14.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ACF's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ACF PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12.9x
Fair PE Ratio17.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ACF is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ACF forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$1.07
AU$1.33
+23.8%
3.7%AU$1.41AU$1.29n/a4
Nov ’25AU$1.07
AU$1.31
+22.2%
3.6%AU$1.38AU$1.25n/a4
Oct ’25AU$1.10
AU$1.28
+16.7%
1.8%AU$1.30AU$1.25n/a3
Sep ’25AU$0.94
AU$1.28
+36.5%
1.8%AU$1.30AU$1.25n/a3
Aug ’25AU$1.15
AU$1.36
+19.1%
3.7%AU$1.43AU$1.31n/a3
Jul ’25AU$1.05
AU$1.34
+27.9%
5.5%AU$1.43AU$1.25n/a3
Jun ’25AU$1.15
AU$1.34
+17.3%
5.5%AU$1.43AU$1.25n/a3
May ’25AU$1.14
AU$1.34
+17.8%
5.5%AU$1.43AU$1.25n/a3
Apr ’25AU$1.20
AU$1.34
+12.4%
5.5%AU$1.43AU$1.25n/a3
Mar ’25AU$1.28
AU$1.34
+4.9%
5.5%AU$1.43AU$1.25n/a3
Feb ’25AU$1.06
AU$1.22
+15.6%
1.3%AU$1.24AU$1.20n/a3
Jan ’25AU$1.04
AU$1.22
+18.2%
1.7%AU$1.25AU$1.20n/a3
Dec ’24AU$0.96
AU$1.22
+27.4%
1.7%AU$1.25AU$1.20n/a3
Nov ’24AU$0.86
AU$1.17
+34.9%
2.0%AU$1.20AU$1.15AU$1.073
Oct ’24AU$0.86
AU$1.17
+35.7%
2.0%AU$1.20AU$1.15AU$1.103
Sep ’24AU$0.92
AU$1.17
+26.8%
2.0%AU$1.20AU$1.15AU$0.943
Aug ’24AU$0.82
AU$1.11
+35.4%
2.7%AU$1.15AU$1.08AU$1.153
Jul ’24AU$0.78
AU$1.13
+44.9%
3.8%AU$1.19AU$1.08AU$1.054
Jun ’24AU$0.76
AU$1.11
+45.4%
7.1%AU$1.19AU$0.98AU$1.154
May ’24AU$0.84
AU$1.08
+27.2%
7.3%AU$1.19AU$0.98AU$1.144
Apr ’24AU$0.78
AU$0.98
+26.0%
8.2%AU$1.10AU$0.88AU$1.204
Mar ’24AU$0.77
AU$0.98
+27.6%
8.2%AU$1.10AU$0.88AU$1.284
Feb ’24AU$0.67
AU$0.88
+32.0%
7.4%AU$0.99AU$0.83AU$1.064
Jan ’24AU$0.63
AU$0.89
+42.9%
7.7%AU$0.99AU$0.84AU$1.043
Dec ’23AU$0.56
AU$0.84
+49.6%
0.6%AU$0.85AU$0.84AU$0.962
Nov ’23AU$0.54
AU$0.92
+70.4%
8.7%AU$1.00AU$0.84AU$0.862

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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