Amotiv Valuation

Is AOV undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AOV when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AOV (A$10.02) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$17.14)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AOV is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AOV?

Key metric: As AOV is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for AOV. This is calculated by dividing AOV's market cap by their current earnings.
What is AOV's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio14.1x
EarningsAU$99.81m
Market CapAU$1.44b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does AOV's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for AOV vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average21x
PWH PWR Holdings
31.1x15.2%AU$770.3m
ARB ARB
33x8.4%AU$3.4b
SFC Schaffer
10.8xn/aAU$290.8m
AHL Adrad Holdings
9.1x11.4%AU$54.5m
AOV Amotiv
14.4x8.3%AU$1.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AOV is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.1x) compared to the peer average (21x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AOV's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Auto Components Industry?

28 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AOV 14.1xIndustry Avg. 17.9xNo. of Companies80PE01224364860+
28 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AOV is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.1x) compared to the Global Auto Components industry average (17.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AOV's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AOV PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio14.1x
Fair PE Ratio20.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: AOV is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AOV forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$10.02
AU$12.97
+29.4%
6.6%AU$14.40AU$10.80n/a12
Nov ’25AU$10.60
AU$12.97
+22.4%
6.6%AU$14.40AU$10.80n/a12
Oct ’25AU$10.52
AU$12.87
+22.4%
6.8%AU$14.40AU$10.80n/a11
Sep ’25AU$10.53
AU$12.81
+21.7%
6.7%AU$14.40AU$10.80n/a12
Aug ’25AU$10.80
AU$12.77
+18.3%
7.6%AU$14.60AU$10.30n/a12
Jul ’25AU$10.42
AU$13.05
+25.2%
5.5%AU$14.60AU$12.00n/a10
Jun ’25AU$10.65
AU$13.07
+22.7%
5.3%AU$14.60AU$12.00n/a11
May ’25AU$10.20
AU$13.16
+29.0%
6.1%AU$15.15AU$12.00n/a11
Apr ’25AU$11.80
AU$12.94
+9.6%
7.9%AU$15.15AU$10.94n/a11
Mar ’25AU$11.29
AU$12.94
+14.6%
7.9%AU$15.15AU$10.94n/a11
Feb ’25AU$12.12
AU$12.95
+6.9%
6.7%AU$14.25AU$11.28n/a9
Jan ’25AU$12.00
AU$12.92
+7.6%
6.5%AU$14.25AU$11.28n/a9
Dec ’24AU$11.07
AU$12.65
+14.3%
6.0%AU$13.80AU$11.28n/a9
Nov ’24AU$10.89
AU$12.65
+16.2%
6.0%AU$13.80AU$11.28AU$10.609
Oct ’24AU$11.77
AU$12.87
+9.4%
7.3%AU$14.25AU$11.28AU$10.529
Sep ’24AU$12.05
AU$12.82
+6.4%
7.1%AU$14.25AU$11.28AU$10.539
Aug ’24AU$9.91
AU$11.87
+19.8%
7.8%AU$13.90AU$10.50AU$10.809
Jul ’24AU$8.82
AU$11.76
+33.3%
7.4%AU$13.90AU$10.50AU$10.429
Jun ’24AU$8.70
AU$11.79
+35.5%
7.7%AU$13.90AU$10.50AU$10.658
May ’24AU$9.53
AU$11.78
+23.7%
8.2%AU$13.90AU$10.50AU$10.207
Apr ’24AU$9.79
AU$11.54
+17.9%
12.0%AU$13.90AU$8.80AU$11.807
Mar ’24AU$10.14
AU$11.50
+13.5%
11.3%AU$13.90AU$8.80AU$11.298
Feb ’24AU$8.40
AU$11.35
+35.1%
15.6%AU$14.10AU$8.40AU$12.128
Jan ’24AU$7.58
AU$11.35
+49.7%
15.6%AU$14.10AU$8.40AU$12.008
Dec ’23AU$8.22
AU$11.33
+37.8%
15.5%AU$14.10AU$8.75AU$11.078
Nov ’23AU$8.17
AU$11.33
+38.6%
15.5%AU$14.10AU$8.75AU$10.898

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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