ARB Valuation

Is ARB undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ARB when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ARB (A$38.58) is trading above our estimate of fair value (A$20.05)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ARB is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ARB?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

ARB key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue4.7x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA21.3x
PEG Ratio3.4x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ARB's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ARB vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average22.6x
GUD GUD Holdings
14.2x6.8%AU$1.5b
PWH PWR Holdings
48.8x17.0%AU$1.2b
SFC Schaffer
15.5xn/aAU$267.9m
AHL Adrad Holdings
11.9x15.8%AU$81.3m
ARB ARB
34.4x10.1%AU$3.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ARB is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (34.4x) compared to the peer average (22.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ARB's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Auto Components Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a19.5%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a19.5%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ARB is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (34.4x) compared to the Global Auto Components industry average (17.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ARB's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ARB PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio34.4x
Fair PE Ratio25.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ARB is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (34.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ARB forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$38.58
AU$36.15
-6.3%
16.1%AU$45.69AU$26.00n/a11
Apr ’25AU$41.35
AU$36.11
-12.7%
16.5%AU$45.69AU$26.00n/a10
Mar ’25AU$41.37
AU$35.66
-13.8%
17.3%AU$45.69AU$26.00n/a10
Feb ’25AU$33.50
AU$31.00
-7.5%
12.0%AU$36.00AU$24.50n/a9
Jan ’25AU$35.96
AU$31.00
-13.8%
12.0%AU$36.00AU$24.50n/a9
Dec ’24AU$31.61
AU$31.00
-1.9%
12.0%AU$36.00AU$24.50n/a9
Nov ’24AU$29.87
AU$31.00
+3.8%
12.0%AU$36.00AU$24.50n/a9
Oct ’24AU$31.28
AU$29.68
-5.1%
13.6%AU$36.00AU$24.40n/a9
Sep ’24AU$33.76
AU$29.69
-12.0%
12.9%AU$36.00AU$24.40n/a10
Aug ’24AU$31.52
AU$28.82
-8.6%
11.7%AU$34.00AU$24.00n/a10
Jul ’24AU$28.60
AU$29.79
+4.2%
11.3%AU$34.00AU$24.00n/a9
Jun ’24AU$28.50
AU$30.68
+7.7%
8.8%AU$34.00AU$24.50n/a9
May ’24AU$32.38
AU$31.41
-3.0%
10.2%AU$35.39AU$24.50n/a8
Apr ’24AU$31.63
AU$31.41
-0.7%
10.2%AU$35.39AU$24.50AU$41.358
Mar ’24AU$31.21
AU$31.41
+0.6%
10.2%AU$35.39AU$24.50AU$41.378
Feb ’24AU$31.55
AU$31.30
-0.8%
14.4%AU$39.25AU$23.50AU$33.508
Jan ’24AU$25.67
AU$31.30
+21.9%
14.4%AU$39.25AU$23.50AU$35.968
Dec ’23AU$29.35
AU$31.30
+6.6%
14.4%AU$39.25AU$23.50AU$31.618
Nov ’23AU$28.65
AU$31.30
+9.2%
14.4%AU$39.25AU$23.50AU$29.878
Oct ’23AU$27.77
AU$34.45
+24.1%
14.3%AU$39.25AU$23.50AU$31.288
Sep ’23AU$30.26
AU$34.45
+13.8%
14.3%AU$39.25AU$23.50AU$33.768
Aug ’23AU$32.87
AU$36.88
+12.2%
19.8%AU$46.63AU$23.50AU$31.528
Jul ’23AU$28.91
AU$36.88
+27.6%
19.8%AU$46.63AU$23.50AU$28.608
Jun ’23AU$31.66
AU$39.75
+25.6%
23.7%AU$56.00AU$23.50AU$28.508
May ’23AU$40.10
AU$44.46
+10.9%
20.9%AU$56.00AU$23.50AU$32.389
Apr ’23AU$40.95
AU$44.46
+8.6%
20.9%AU$56.00AU$23.50AU$31.639

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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