Capital Allocation Trends At Österreichische Post (VIE:POST) Aren't Ideal
What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. Having said that, from a first glance at Österreichische Post (VIE:POST) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.
What is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Österreichische Post:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.15 = €198m ÷ (€2.8b - €1.5b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2021).
So, Österreichische Post has an ROCE of 15%. In absolute terms, that's a pretty normal return, and it's somewhat close to the Logistics industry average of 13%.
Check out our latest analysis for Österreichische Post
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Österreichische Post compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Österreichische Post here for free.
What Does the ROCE Trend For Österreichische Post Tell Us?
On the surface, the trend of ROCE at Österreichische Post doesn't inspire confidence. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 22%, but since then they've fallen to 15%. However, given capital employed and revenue have both increased it appears that the business is currently pursuing growth, at the consequence of short term returns. And if the increased capital generates additional returns, the business, and thus shareholders, will benefit in the long run.
On a side note, Österreichische Post's current liabilities have increased over the last five years to 53% of total assets, effectively distorting the ROCE to some degree. If current liabilities hadn't increased as much as they did, the ROCE could actually be even lower. What this means is that in reality, a rather large portion of the business is being funded by the likes of the company's suppliers or short-term creditors, which can bring some risks of its own.
The Key Takeaway
While returns have fallen for Österreichische Post in recent times, we're encouraged to see that sales are growing and that the business is reinvesting in its operations. And the stock has followed suit returning a meaningful 51% to shareholders over the last five years. So should these growth trends continue, we'd be optimistic on the stock going forward.
If you'd like to know about the risks facing Österreichische Post, we've discovered 2 warning signs that you should be aware of.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About WBAG:POST
Österreichische Post
Provides postal and parcel services in Austria, Germany, Southeast and Eastern Europe, Türkiye, Azerbaijan, and internationally.
Good value with acceptable track record.