Western Digital Corporation

WBAG:WDC Stock Report

Market Cap: €21.2b

Western Digital Valuation

Is WDC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of WDC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: WDC (€58.49) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€87.52)

Significantly Below Fair Value: WDC is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for WDC?

Key metric: As WDC is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for WDC. This is calculated by dividing WDC's market cap by their current earnings.
What is WDC's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio66.8x
EarningsUS$329.00m
Market CapUS$21.97b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does WDC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for WDC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average16.7x
STX Seagate Technology Holdings
22.5x12.1%US$19.4b
NTAP NetApp
20.6x5.1%US$24.1b
HPQ HP
11x1.9%US$30.5b
992 Lenovo Group
12.6x16.9%HK$116.1b
WDC Western Digital
66.8x20.7%€22.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: WDC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (66.8x) compared to the peer average (17x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does WDC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Tech Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
WDC 66.8xIndustry Avg. 21.9xNo. of Companies4PE01020304050+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: WDC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (66.8x) compared to the Global Tech industry average (23.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is WDC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

WDC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio66.8x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate WDC's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst WDC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€58.49
€86.08
+47.2%
12.0%€110.98€57.90n/a20
Dec ’25€69.43
€82.66
+19.1%
11.7%€105.73€55.16n/a21
Nov ’25€61.31
€82.06
+33.8%
13.8%€106.54€55.58n/a21
Oct ’25€60.85
€77.46
+27.3%
14.6%€102.89€53.68n/a21
Sep ’25€58.07
€81.28
+40.0%
12.7%€105.21€54.89n/a21
Aug ’25€55.18
€83.39
+51.1%
12.4%€106.57€55.60n/a21
Jul ’25€70.72
€81.61
+15.4%
14.4%€107.05€47.48n/a22
Jun ’25€68.20
€77.81
+14.1%
19.8%€106.01€30.42n/a22
May ’25€65.43
€77.30
+18.1%
20.6%€107.50€30.85n/a22
Apr ’25€63.35
€62.55
-1.3%
17.6%€81.25€30.47n/a22
Mar ’25€58.13
€60.13
+3.4%
16.5%€76.12€30.63n/a21
Feb ’25€52.65
€58.94
+11.9%
18.0%€75.71€30.47n/a21
Jan ’25€47.87
€45.80
-4.3%
16.2%€62.38€30.27n/a22
Dec ’24€44.85
€45.99
+2.6%
13.6%€62.32€37.57€69.4321
Nov ’24€39.05
€46.05
+17.9%
14.3%€61.51€29.34€61.3121
Oct ’24€43.37
€43.78
+0.9%
15.5%€56.27€29.07€60.8522
Sep ’24€42.45
€42.12
-0.8%
14.9%€55.52€28.68€58.0723
Aug ’24€38.02
€41.47
+9.1%
15.2%€54.63€28.23€55.1822
Jul ’24€34.56
€40.53
+17.3%
17.7%€55.21€28.52€70.7221
Jun ’24€36.27
€40.71
+12.2%
18.3%€54.73€28.28€68.2023
May ’24€29.64
€41.75
+40.9%
16.7%€54.33€28.07€65.4323
Apr ’24€34.67
€43.72
+26.1%
16.3%€56.73€29.31€63.3523
Mar ’24€35.90
€43.34
+20.7%
16.0%€56.18€30.90€58.1323
Feb ’24€38.09
€40.90
+7.4%
18.1%€54.62€27.31€52.6523
Jan ’24€29.30
€40.79
+39.2%
19.1%€56.62€26.42€47.8724
Dec ’23€34.55
€43.54
+26.0%
19.4%€60.05€27.12€44.8524

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/19 05:19
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/19 00:00
Earnings2024/09/27
Annual Earnings2024/06/28

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Western Digital Corporation is covered by 69 analysts. 22 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Nam Hyung KimArete Research Services LLP
James KelleherArgus Research Company
Phillip AllingAtlantic Equities LLP