ams-OSRAM Valuation

Is AMS2 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AMS2 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AMS2 (€6.57) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€76.57)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AMS2 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AMS2?

Key metric: As AMS2 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for AMS2. This is calculated by dividing AMS2's market cap by their current revenue.
What is AMS2's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.2x
Sales€3.46b
Market Cap€642.41m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does AMS2's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for AMS2 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average3.8x
6875 MegaChips
2.1x14.8%JP¥99.7b
603068 Beken
5.5xn/aCN¥4.2b
3545 FocalTech Systems
1.4x6.6%NT$19.6b
688496 Suzhou QingYue Optoelectronics Technology
6.2xn/aCN¥4.3b
AMS2 ams-OSRAM
0.2x5.2%€597.2m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: AMS2 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the peer average (3.9x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does AMS2's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Semiconductor Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.1.7x12.3%
AMS2 ams-OSRAM
0.2x5.2%US$673.04m
AMS2 0.2xIndustry Avg. 1.7xNo. of Companies9PS012345+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.1.7x18.6%
AMS2 ams-OSRAM
0.2x117.7%US$673.04m
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: AMS2 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the European Semiconductor industry average (1.7x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AMS2's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AMS2 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.2x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate AMS2's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AMS2 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€6.57
€11.32
+72.3%
31.7%€17.06€6.88n/a9
Nov ’25€9.25
€17.22
+86.1%
24.0%€26.63€12.31n/a9
Oct ’25€12.27
€17.57
+43.2%
27.1%€26.78€12.10n/a9
Sep ’25€11.14
€17.37
+56.0%
29.1%€26.78€12.10n/a9
Aug ’25€12.72
€18.11
+42.4%
30.0%€26.79€12.10n/a10
Jul ’25€13.05
€18.27
+40.0%
29.3%€26.79€11.00n/a10
Jun ’25€14.32
€18.34
+28.0%
29.3%€26.79€11.00n/a10
May ’25€11.60
€33.49
+188.8%
141.9%€182.96€11.00n/a11
Apr ’25€11.15
€36.52
+227.6%
127.7%€182.96€14.61n/a11
Mar ’25€13.60
€35.45
+160.7%
126.4%€182.96€14.61n/a12
Feb ’25€22.13
€51.93
+134.6%
97.0%€182.96€18.58n/a10
Jan ’25€23.39
€58.43
+149.8%
88.6%€182.96€17.93n/a9
Dec ’24€17.00
€65.29
+284.1%
73.4%€182.96€17.93n/a9
Nov ’24€36.80
€78.42
+113.1%
59.1%€182.96€33.77€9.2510
Oct ’24€44.15
€79.42
+79.9%
49.8%€170.42€41.31€12.2711
Sep ’24€66.90
€86.28
+29.0%
38.4%€172.37€50.41€11.1413
Aug ’24€80.00
€86.86
+8.6%
39.7%€172.37€50.70€12.7212
Jul ’24€66.02
€79.53
+20.5%
44.1%€170.92€51.00€13.0513
Jun ’24€67.60
€79.53
+17.7%
44.0%€170.92€51.00€14.3213
May ’24€63.00
€88.21
+40.0%
40.6%€171.90€56.56€11.6013
Apr ’24€71.20
€88.11
+23.7%
40.8%€171.90€56.56€11.1513
Mar ’24€73.00
€89.11
+22.1%
38.3%€167.74€56.56€13.6013
Feb ’24€88.50
€91.39
+3.3%
41.8%€180.75€60.25€22.1313
Jan ’24€68.10
€93.66
+37.5%
41.9%€181.98€60.66€23.3912
Dec ’23€81.24
€92.19
+13.5%
43.8%€181.98€53.64€17.0012
Nov ’23€59.06
€101.29
+71.5%
39.4%€195.50€53.64€36.8012

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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