Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE

WBAG:UL Stock Report

Market Cap: €10.8b

Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield Valuation

Is UL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of UL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: UL (€77.04) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€179.45)

Significantly Below Fair Value: UL is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for UL?

Key metric: As UL is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for UL. This is calculated by dividing UL's market cap by their current revenue.
What is UL's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio3.6x
Sales€2.97b
Market Cap€10.82b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does UL's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for UL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average9.1x
C38U CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust
9.1x2.6%S$14.4b
ADC Agree Realty
13.4x12.9%US$8.0b
823 Link Real Estate Investment Trust
6.5x3.8%HK$86.6b
SCG Scentre Group
7.5x-3.6%AU$19.3b
UL Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield
3.6x0.4%€10.8b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: UL is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.6x) compared to the peer average (9.2x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does UL's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Retail REITs Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
UL 3.6xIndustry Avg. 5.8xNo. of Companies7PS03.26.49.612.816+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: UL is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.6x) compared to the European Retail REITs industry average (5.7x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is UL's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

UL PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio3.6x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate UL's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst UL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€77.04
€84.01
+9.1%
14.1%€117.00€65.00n/a14
Nov ’25€75.60
€83.51
+10.5%
14.1%€113.00€65.00n/a15
Oct ’25€79.38
€81.65
+2.9%
15.6%€113.00€55.00n/a15
Sep ’25€72.72
€79.12
+8.8%
21.5%€117.00€40.00n/a14
Aug ’25€69.68
€78.98
+13.3%
20.8%€117.00€40.00n/a15
Jul ’25€76.24
€79.25
+3.9%
20.7%€117.00€40.00n/a15
Jun ’25€80.14
€77.38
-3.4%
20.2%€111.00€40.00n/a15
May ’25€78.76
€77.38
-1.8%
20.2%€111.00€40.00n/a15
Apr ’25€75.22
€72.80
-3.2%
22.8%€107.00€40.00n/a15
Mar ’25€68.24
€69.07
+1.2%
24.3%€101.00€40.00n/a15
Feb ’25€65.20
€66.54
+2.1%
23.1%€95.50€40.00n/a15
Jan ’25€67.22
€61.30
-8.8%
23.0%€95.50€40.00n/a15
Dec ’24€58.76
€59.03
+0.5%
22.3%€95.50€40.00n/a15
Nov ’24€46.43
€57.03
+22.8%
23.6%€95.50€40.00€75.6015
Oct ’24€45.89
€55.67
+21.3%
24.5%€95.50€40.00€79.3815
Sep ’24€48.66
€55.67
+14.4%
24.7%€95.50€40.00€72.7215
Aug ’24€51.16
€56.40
+10.2%
25.7%€95.50€40.00€69.6815
Jul ’24€47.87
€55.67
+16.3%
24.6%€95.50€40.00€76.2415
Jun ’24€42.69
€55.53
+30.1%
24.5%€95.50€40.00€80.1415
May ’24€48.44
€55.53
+14.6%
24.5%€95.50€40.00€78.7615
Apr ’24€49.66
€57.67
+16.1%
24.3%€95.50€40.00€75.2215
Mar ’24€59.66
€57.69
-3.3%
23.8%€95.50€40.00€68.2416
Feb ’24€58.40
€55.69
-4.6%
23.5%€93.50€40.00€65.2016
Jan ’24€49.39
€54.81
+11.0%
24.5%€93.50€40.00€67.2216
Dec ’23€50.62
€54.63
+7.9%
25.0%€93.50€39.00€58.7616
Nov ’23€48.90
€58.94
+20.6%
30.8%€102.00€40.00€46.4316

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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