K+S Valuation

Is SDF undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SDF when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
€1.46
Fair Value
800.2% overvalued intrinsic discount
16
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: SDF (€13.15) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€1.46)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SDF is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SDF?

Key metric: As SDF is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for SDF. This is calculated by dividing SDF's market cap by their current revenue.
What is SDF's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.6x
Sales€3.65b
Market Cap€2.37b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does SDF's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for SDF vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.5x
LNZ Lenzing
0.4x2.6%€1.1b
WIE Wienerberger
0.8x5.0%€3.8b
MMK Mayr-Melnhof Karton
0.4x3.5%€1.6b
VOE Voestalpine
0.3x0.8%€4.2b
SDF K+S
0.6x0.9%€2.4b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: SDF is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x) compared to the peer average (0.5x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does SDF's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Chemicals Industry?

24 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SDF 0.6xIndustry Avg. 1.0xNo. of Companies24PS012345+
24 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: SDF is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x) compared to the European Chemicals industry average (1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SDF's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SDF PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.6x
Fair PS Ratio0.3x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: SDF is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SDF forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€13.15
€11.95
-9.1%
22.3%€17.50€8.00n/a16
Mar ’26€13.18
€11.95
-9.3%
22.3%€17.50€8.00n/a16
Feb ’26€13.40
€11.90
-11.2%
22.6%€17.50€8.00n/a16
Jan ’26€10.41
€11.49
+10.4%
25.0%€17.50€7.50n/a16
Dec ’25€11.18
€11.51
+2.9%
24.9%€17.50€7.50n/a16
Nov ’25€11.24
€12.40
+10.3%
25.5%€18.00€7.50n/a17
Oct ’25€11.47
€13.14
+14.6%
25.1%€19.00€7.50n/a17
Sep ’25€10.70
€13.42
+25.5%
25.3%€19.00€7.50n/a17
Aug ’25€11.85
€14.61
+23.3%
20.8%€20.00€10.00n/a17
Jul ’25€12.67
€15.24
+20.2%
18.2%€20.00€10.00n/a17
Jun ’25€13.48
€15.31
+13.5%
17.5%€20.00€10.00n/a17
May ’25€14.14
€15.46
+9.4%
17.2%€20.00€10.00n/a17
Apr ’25€14.47
€15.55
+7.5%
16.9%€20.00€10.00n/a16
Mar ’25€13.16
€16.69
+26.8%
20.6%€23.00€11.00€13.1816
Feb ’25€12.74
€16.69
+31.0%
20.6%€23.00€11.00€13.4016
Jan ’25€14.31
€18.01
+25.9%
17.1%€23.00€13.00€10.4116
Dec ’24€13.69
€18.21
+33.1%
15.7%€23.00€13.00€11.1816
Nov ’24€15.63
€19.45
+24.5%
15.7%€25.00€16.00€11.2416
Oct ’24€17.16
€19.64
+14.5%
16.3%€25.00€15.00€11.4716
Sep ’24€17.51
€19.64
+12.2%
16.3%€25.00€15.00€10.7016
Aug ’24€17.29
€19.18
+11.0%
15.9%€25.00€15.00€11.8516
Jul ’24€16.01
€20.07
+25.4%
15.8%€26.00€16.00€12.6716
Jun ’24€14.99
€20.76
+38.5%
17.6%€27.00€16.70€13.4816
May ’24€18.06
€23.58
+30.5%
17.2%€30.00€17.00€14.1416
Apr ’24€19.56
€24.09
+23.2%
15.7%€30.00€17.00€14.4716
Mar ’24€22.67
€25.13
+10.8%
15.7%€35.00€19.90€13.1615
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 16 Analysts
€11.86
Fair Value
10.8% overvalued intrinsic discount
16
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


Discover undervalued companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/03/14 09:47
End of Day Share Price 2025/03/13 00:00
Earnings2024/12/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

K+S Aktiengesellschaft is covered by 53 analysts. 15 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Stephen WilderAlliance Global Partners
Martin SchneeAlphaValue
Andrew BensonAuerbach Grayson