Stock Analysis

Mayr-Melnhof Karton AG's (VIE:MMK) Price In Tune With Revenues

WBAG:MMK
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With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 0.6x in the Packaging industry in Austria, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Mayr-Melnhof Karton AG's (VIE:MMK) P/S ratio of 0.5x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

View our latest analysis for Mayr-Melnhof Karton

ps-multiple-vs-industry
WBAG:MMK Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 2nd 2024

How Mayr-Melnhof Karton Has Been Performing

With revenue that's retreating more than the industry's average of late, Mayr-Melnhof Karton has been very sluggish. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think the company's revenue trend will eventually fall in line with most others in the industry. If you still like the company, you'd want its revenue trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. Or at the very least, you'd be hoping it doesn't keep underperforming if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's not in favour.

Keen to find out how analysts think Mayr-Melnhof Karton's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Mayr-Melnhof Karton would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 14%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 61% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 5.0% as estimated by the dual analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 4.0%, which is not materially different.

With this information, we can see why Mayr-Melnhof Karton is trading at a fairly similar P/S to the industry. Apparently shareholders are comfortable to simply hold on while the company is keeping a low profile.

The Final Word

It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Our look at Mayr-Melnhof Karton's revenue growth estimates show that its P/S is about what we expect, as both metrics follow closely with the industry averages. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement or deterioration in revenue isn't great enough to push P/S in a higher or lower direction. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to support the share price at these levels.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Mayr-Melnhof Karton that you should be aware of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.