Assessing Mayr-Melnhof Karton (WBAG:MMK) Valuation Following Mixed Q3 and Nine-Month 2025 Results

Mayr-Melnhof Karton (WBAG:MMK) has just released its Q3 and nine-month results for 2025. Investors are paying close attention because the results show that third quarter sales and profits declined. However, year-to-date net income has improved significantly.

See our latest analysis for Mayr-Melnhof Karton.

Despite the quarterly dip in earnings, Mayr-Melnhof Karton’s share price reflects the mixed mood. After a strong rally last week, the one-year total shareholder return is a modest 3.7%, while the past three years have seen a sharp 49% decline. The recent pickup suggests investors are weighing the company’s long-term challenges against signs of improving fundamentals, with momentum still looking subdued overall.

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With analysts seeing a notable discount to the price target but recent results showing mixed signals, the key question for investors is whether Mayr-Melnhof Karton is undervalued right now or if future recovery is already priced in.

Most Popular Narrative: 17.7% Undervalued

The most widely followed narrative values Mayr-Melnhof Karton at €90.07, which stands well above the latest close at €74.10. This suggests that narrative followers see significant potential, setting the stage for bold expectations driven by key business initiatives and market trends.

The company's Fit for Future program targets more than €150 million in sustainable cost savings by 2027 (about 5% of the cost base), with tangible effects already in 2024 and further incremental improvements expected through 2026. These structural reductions in procurement and operational costs should directly drive higher EBITDA, improved net margins, and ultimately higher earnings.

Read the complete narrative.

Curious what bold quantitative assumptions support this price? The narrative is built around transformative savings and a shift in how profit and growth will evolve. Curious which crucial projections could rewrite MMK's future value? Click to uncover the numbers behind this narrative’s optimism; some may surprise you.

Result: Fair Value of €90.07 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, persistent industry overcapacity and ongoing cost volatility could threaten the company's expected margin gains and reduce potential upside for shareholders.

Find out about the key risks to this Mayr-Melnhof Karton narrative.

Build Your Own Mayr-Melnhof Karton Narrative

If you have a different perspective or want to interpret the numbers yourself, you can quickly craft your own outlook with just a few guided steps. Do it your way.

A great starting point for your Mayr-Melnhof Karton research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 3 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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