Dow Inc.

WBAG:DOW Stock Report

Market Cap: €29.4b

Dow Valuation

Is DOW undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of DOW when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: DOW (€41.69) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€150.5)

Significantly Below Fair Value: DOW is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DOW?

Key metric: As DOW is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for DOW. This is calculated by dividing DOW's market cap by their current earnings.
What is DOW's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio29.4x
EarningsUS$1.05b
Market CapUS$30.94b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does DOW's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for DOW vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average70.7x
LYB LyondellBasell Industries
12.6x10.9%US$26.8b
2010 Saudi Basic Industries
84.6x55.2%ر.س209.1b
BOROUGE Borouge
17.2x5.7%د.إ74.8b
WLK Westlake
168.6x54.6%US$16.3b
DOW Dow
29.5x28.5%€30.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: DOW is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.5x) compared to the peer average (70.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does DOW's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Chemicals Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
DOW 29.4xIndustry Avg. 17.9xNo. of Companies11PE01224364860+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: DOW is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.5x) compared to the European Chemicals industry average (17.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is DOW's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

DOW PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio29.4x
Fair PE Ratio32.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: DOW is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst DOW forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€41.69
€53.83
+29.1%
7.6%€66.29€48.30n/a19
Nov ’25€45.38
€52.44
+15.6%
7.7%€64.46€46.96n/a19
Oct ’25€49.33
€52.15
+5.7%
8.3%€64.79€46.79n/a20
Sep ’25€47.94
€54.20
+13.1%
7.3%€65.97€47.65n/a20
Aug ’25€49.47
€54.29
+9.7%
6.4%€62.63€47.89n/a20
Jul ’25€49.10
€57.04
+16.2%
6.3%€63.48€48.54n/a20
Jun ’25€52.81
€57.11
+8.1%
6.1%€63.14€48.29n/a20
May ’25€53.72
€57.02
+6.1%
6.4%€63.42€48.50n/a21
Apr ’25€53.64
€54.41
+1.4%
7.9%€63.31€48.41n/a20
Mar ’25€51.82
€53.60
+3.4%
7.4%€63.12€48.27n/a20
Feb ’25€48.73
€53.36
+9.5%
7.3%€62.78€48.01n/a20
Jan ’25€50.00
€51.29
+2.6%
7.6%€63.20€44.88n/a20
Dec ’24€48.15
€52.03
+8.1%
7.8%€64.35€45.70n/a20
Nov ’24€45.23
€52.91
+17.0%
7.9%€65.29€46.36€45.3820
Oct ’24€48.75
€52.74
+8.2%
9.6%€67.38€43.99€49.3321
Sep ’24€51.16
€51.73
+1.1%
9.8%€65.69€42.88€47.9422
Aug ’24€50.82
€51.56
+1.5%
9.6%€65.31€42.63€49.4723
Jul ’24€48.77
€52.32
+7.3%
9.9%€65.97€43.06€49.1025
Jun ’24€45.72
€54.37
+18.9%
10.5%€67.37€43.98€52.8124
May ’24€47.81
€52.91
+10.7%
10.6%€65.32€42.64€53.7222
Apr ’24€50.10
€54.03
+7.8%
12.1%€66.92€40.89€53.6422
Mar ’24€54.48
€54.10
-0.7%
13.1%€67.11€36.35€51.8222
Feb ’24€54.36
€51.93
-4.5%
14.0%€66.23€35.88€48.7322
Jan ’24€47.39
€48.50
+2.4%
14.6%€65.09€36.79€50.0022
Dec ’23€48.69
€50.57
+3.9%
12.6%€65.81€39.48€48.1522
Nov ’23€48.01
€50.57
+5.3%
12.6%€65.81€39.48€45.2322

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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