Stock Analysis

Does AMAG Austria Metall (VIE:AMAG) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

WBAG:AMAG
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, AMAG Austria Metall AG (VIE:AMAG) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Our analysis indicates that AMAG is potentially undervalued!

How Much Debt Does AMAG Austria Metall Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2022 AMAG Austria Metall had debt of €731.0m, up from €546.9m in one year. However, it does have €231.0m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about €500.0m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
WBAG:AMAG Debt to Equity History November 1st 2022

A Look At AMAG Austria Metall's Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that AMAG Austria Metall had liabilities of €442.0m falling due within a year, and liabilities of €777.7m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of €231.0m as well as receivables valued at €217.0m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling €771.6m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of €1.08b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on AMAG Austria Metall's use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

AMAG Austria Metall's net debt to EBITDA ratio of about 2.1 suggests only moderate use of debt. And its commanding EBIT of 14.1 times its interest expense, implies the debt load is as light as a peacock feather. Pleasingly, AMAG Austria Metall is growing its EBIT faster than former Australian PM Bob Hawke downs a yard glass, boasting a 198% gain in the last twelve months. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine AMAG Austria Metall's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, AMAG Austria Metall saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

We feel some trepidation about AMAG Austria Metall's difficulty conversion of EBIT to free cash flow, but we've got positives to focus on, too. For example, its interest cover and EBIT growth rate give us some confidence in its ability to manage its debt. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that AMAG Austria Metall is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. That's not necessarily a bad thing, since leverage can boost returns on equity, but it is something to be aware of. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should learn about the 4 warning signs we've spotted with AMAG Austria Metall (including 3 which are concerning) .

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.