Albemarle Valuation

Is ALBE undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ALBE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ALBE (€104.04) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€243.03)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ALBE is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ALBE?

Key metric: As ALBE is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for ALBE. This is calculated by dividing ALBE's market cap by their current revenue.
What is ALBE's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio2x
SalesUS$6.50b
Market CapUS$12.88b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does ALBE's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for ALBE vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.8x
SQM Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile
2.4x12.0%US$11.1b
VOE Voestalpine
0.2x0.7%€3.1b
WIE Wienerberger
0.7x6.8%€3.0b
002460 Ganfeng Lithium Group
4x14.0%CN¥78.0b
ALBE Albemarle
2x9.1%€12.9b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: ALBE is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2x) compared to the peer average (1.8x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does ALBE's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Chemicals Industry?

24 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ALBE 2.0xIndustry Avg. 1.0xNo. of Companies24PS012345+
24 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: ALBE is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2x) compared to the European Chemicals industry average (1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ALBE's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ALBE PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio2x
Fair PS Ratio0.3x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: ALBE is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ALBE forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€104.04
€109.87
+5.6%
29.3%€212.36€68.90n/a26
Nov ’25€89.63
€105.31
+17.5%
31.2%€208.44€67.63n/a26
Oct ’25€84.79
€100.29
+18.3%
32.4%€201.51€65.38n/a26
Sep ’25€82.37
€100.40
+21.9%
32.3%€201.17€65.27n/a26
Aug ’25€86.30
€117.51
+36.2%
27.0%€208.51€75.06n/a25
Jul ’25€89.76
€138.53
+54.3%
24.9%€256.60€75.58n/a24
Jun ’25€112.80
€142.07
+26.0%
24.3%€254.62€75.00n/a25
May ’25€112.82
€143.42
+27.1%
24.1%€258.80€76.23n/a27
Apr ’25€120.40
€138.41
+15.0%
25.1%€253.72€74.73n/a27
Mar ’25€131.68
€140.60
+6.8%
26.6%€276.84€83.05n/a27
Feb ’25€105.02
€149.38
+42.2%
25.2%€276.00€82.80n/a27
Jan ’25€135.28
€171.18
+26.5%
30.3%€279.94€81.80n/a27
Dec ’24€114.86
€175.31
+52.6%
30.2%€282.99€82.69n/a27
Nov ’24€114.60
€225.16
+96.5%
23.5%€330.72€146.46€89.6326
Oct ’24€165.06
€250.35
+51.7%
17.8%€331.07€146.61€84.7924
Sep ’24€185.86
€243.96
+31.3%
18.3%€322.60€142.86€82.3725
Aug ’24€189.48
€241.80
+27.6%
19.9%€325.44€140.12€86.3025
Jul ’24€202.25
€241.34
+19.3%
20.6%€330.12€142.14€89.7625
Jun ’24€180.60
€247.91
+37.3%
21.9%€336.85€145.03€112.8024
May ’24€167.84
€260.55
+55.2%
25.2%€453.93€141.28€112.8222
Apr ’24€205.20
€294.28
+43.4%
19.6%€459.11€142.89€120.4022
Mar ’24€236.20
€296.09
+25.4%
19.3%€467.07€145.37€131.6824
Feb ’24€257.20
€288.02
+12.0%
19.8%€457.19€142.58€105.0223
Jan ’24€202.65
€295.95
+46.0%
19.5%€434.22€145.99€135.2821
Dec ’23€260.70
€310.81
+19.2%
19.5%€446.16€150.01€114.8620
Nov ’23€288.75
€320.07
+10.8%
20.1%€449.72€148.20€114.6020

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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