Acerinox Valuation

Is ACX undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ACX when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ACX (€9.12) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€19.13)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ACX is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ACX?

Key metric: As ACX is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ACX. This is calculated by dividing ACX's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ACX's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio54.1x
Earnings€42.13m
Market Cap€2.28b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ACX's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ACX vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average54.8x
AMAG AMAG Austria Metall
15.9x16.4%€811.1m
WIE Wienerberger
44.9x47.0%€3.0b
MMK Mayr-Melnhof Karton
30.4x57.9%€1.5b
002075 Jiangsu Shagang
127.9xn/aCN¥15.4b
ACX Acerinox
54.1x40.9%€2.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ACX is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (54.1x) compared to the peer average (56.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ACX's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Metals and Mining Industry?

15 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ACX 54.1xIndustry Avg. 12.9xNo. of Companies15PE0816243240+
15 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ACX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (54.1x) compared to the European Metals and Mining industry average (13.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ACX's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ACX PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio54.1x
Fair PE Ratio31.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ACX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (54.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ACX forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€9.12
€12.96
+42.2%
17.4%€15.50€6.90n/a14
Nov ’25€8.42
€13.06
+55.2%
17.1%€15.50€6.90n/a14
Oct ’25€9.68
€13.46
+39.1%
16.8%€15.80€8.00n/a15
Sep ’25€9.49
€13.70
+44.4%
17.9%€17.75€8.00n/a15
Aug ’25€9.70
€13.70
+41.2%
17.9%€17.75€8.00n/a15
Jul ’25€9.83
€13.78
+40.2%
17.8%€17.75€8.20n/a15
Jun ’25€10.04
€13.77
+37.2%
17.7%€17.75€8.20n/a15
May ’25€10.27
€13.69
+33.3%
17.7%€17.75€8.20n/a15
Apr ’25€10.14
€13.80
+36.1%
15.5%€17.75€9.68n/a15
Mar ’25€9.46
€13.79
+45.8%
15.2%€17.75€9.68n/a16
Feb ’25€9.72
€13.76
+41.5%
15.4%€17.75€9.68n/a16
Jan ’25€10.74
€13.48
+25.6%
14.0%€16.00€9.50n/a16
Dec ’24€10.22
€13.41
+31.3%
14.7%€16.00€9.50n/a16
Nov ’24€9.20
€13.15
+43.0%
15.1%€16.00€9.55€8.4216
Oct ’24€9.17
€13.40
+46.1%
13.4%€16.00€9.60€9.6816
Sep ’24€9.33
€13.39
+43.5%
12.9%€16.00€9.60€9.4916
Aug ’24€9.54
€13.39
+40.4%
12.9%€16.00€9.60€9.7016
Jul ’24€9.93
€13.17
+32.5%
15.2%€17.00€9.60€9.8316
Jun ’24€9.70
€13.15
+35.7%
17.1%€17.00€8.40€10.0416
May ’24€9.66
€12.80
+32.5%
17.7%€17.00€8.40€10.2716
Apr ’24€9.51
€12.79
+34.5%
16.2%€16.00€8.40€10.1416
Mar ’24€10.31
€12.75
+23.8%
16.3%€16.00€8.40€9.4616
Feb ’24€9.93
€12.48
+25.7%
17.5%€16.00€8.40€9.7216
Jan ’24€9.27
€12.38
+33.5%
17.0%€16.00€8.40€10.7417
Dec ’23€9.31
€12.32
+32.2%
17.0%€16.00€8.40€10.2217
Nov ’23€9.03
€12.39
+37.2%
16.7%€16.00€8.40€9.2017

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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