Tyson Foods, Inc.

WBAG:TSN Stock Report

Market Cap: €21.8b

Tyson Foods Valuation

Is TSN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TSN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TSN (€61.73) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€341.11)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TSN is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TSN?

Key metric: As TSN is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for TSN. This is calculated by dividing TSN's market cap by their current earnings.
What is TSN's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio28.4x
EarningsUS$800.00m
Market CapUS$22.69b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TSN's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TSN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average41.2x
AGR AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft
26.6xn/a€693.6m
MAN Josef Manner & Comp
28.5xn/a€196.6m
MKC McCormick
26.3x5.8%US$20.8b
300999 Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings
83.5x34.2%CN¥179.5b
TSN Tyson Foods
28.4x22.5%€22.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TSN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.4x) compared to the peer average (41.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TSN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Food Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TSN 28.4xIndustry Avg. 13.4xNo. of Companies17PE0816243240+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TSN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.4x) compared to the European Food industry average (13.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TSN's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TSN PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio28.4x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate TSN's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TSN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€61.73
€62.10
+0.6%
10.7%€75.76€52.09n/a12
Nov ’25€54.02
€58.55
+8.4%
13.9%€73.48€45.93n/a12
Oct ’25€54.53
€57.62
+5.7%
13.8%€71.85€44.91n/a12
Sep ’25€57.89
€58.28
+0.7%
12.5%€72.75€46.38n/a11
Aug ’25€56.21
€57.67
+2.6%
12.8%€73.87€47.09n/a11
Jul ’25€53.60
€58.33
+8.8%
12.7%€74.50€47.50n/a11
Jun ’25€52.97
€59.04
+11.5%
13.3%€77.17€47.41n/a12
May ’25€56.50
€58.06
+2.8%
14.4%€77.59€44.87n/a13
Apr ’25€54.62
€55.47
+1.6%
15.7%€76.70€44.36n/a13
Mar ’25€49.61
€55.47
+11.8%
15.7%€76.70€44.36n/a13
Feb ’25€50.96
€51.24
+0.5%
18.7%€75.44€39.56n/a13
Jan ’25€48.54
€49.92
+2.8%
21.0%€75.11€39.39n/a12
Dec ’24€43.96
€52.11
+18.6%
25.0%€74.93€39.29n/a12
Nov ’24€44.06
€57.19
+29.8%
21.6%€80.37€42.55€54.0213
Oct ’24€47.93
€57.78
+20.5%
20.4%€80.48€45.45€54.5313
Sep ’24€48.98
€55.19
+12.7%
19.8%€77.55€43.80€57.8912
Aug ’24€50.45
€54.54
+8.1%
21.3%€75.60€42.69€56.2112
Jul ’24€46.66
€57.31
+22.8%
22.9%€89.36€44.68€53.6012
Jun ’24€47.20
€56.61
+19.9%
22.6%€89.22€44.61€52.9711
May ’24€54.85
€63.28
+15.4%
18.2%€93.47€50.82€56.5011
Apr ’24€54.29
€65.94
+21.5%
20.2%€97.15€52.82€54.6211
Mar ’24€55.23
€65.94
+19.4%
20.2%€97.15€52.82€49.6111
Feb ’24€59.30
€71.08
+19.9%
17.8%€97.51€53.35€50.9611
Jan ’24€57.91
€72.61
+25.4%
17.1%€98.99€54.17€48.5412
Dec ’23€62.69
€75.49
+20.4%
16.3%€98.72€56.13€43.9612
Nov ’23€69.15
€88.77
+28.4%
14.3%€110.10€67.45€44.0612

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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