Eni Valuation

Is ENI undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ENI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ENI (€13.79) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€18.89)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ENI is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ENI?

Key metric: As ENI is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ENI. This is calculated by dividing ENI's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ENI's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio17.6x
Earnings€2.46b
Market Cap€43.36b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ENI's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ENI vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average8.9x
OMV OMV
9.6x16.8%€12.7b
OXY Occidental Petroleum
13.7x8.7%US$47.8b
SU Suncor Energy
9x-12.5%CA$71.8b
LKOH PJSC LUKOIL
3.3xn/a₽2.5t
ENI Eni
17.6x17.3%€43.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ENI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.6x) compared to the peer average (10.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ENI's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Oil and Gas Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ENI 17.6xIndustry Avg. 8.7xNo. of Companies18PE0612182430+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ENI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.6x) compared to the European Oil and Gas industry average (8.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ENI's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ENI PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio17.6x
Fair PE Ratio12.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ENI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ENI forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€13.79
€16.43
+19.1%
8.4%€18.50€13.00n/a23
Nov ’25€14.09
€16.54
+17.4%
8.6%€18.50€13.00n/a23
Oct ’25€13.70
€16.90
+23.4%
8.7%€19.50€14.80n/a22
Sep ’25€14.68
€17.06
+16.2%
9.3%€19.50€13.50n/a22
Aug ’25€14.67
€17.01
+16.0%
9.5%€19.50€13.50n/a22
Jul ’25€14.57
€17.00
+16.7%
9.4%€19.50€14.00n/a21
Jun ’25€14.41
€16.94
+17.5%
9.5%€19.50€14.00n/a21
May ’25€15.29
€16.84
+10.2%
9.0%€19.50€14.00n/a21
Apr ’25€14.67
€16.60
+13.2%
10.0%€19.50€13.00n/a21
Mar ’25€14.24
€17.31
+21.6%
9.7%€20.00€14.00n/a24
Feb ’25€14.88
€17.44
+17.2%
9.8%€20.00€14.00n/a24
Jan ’25€15.36
€17.40
+13.3%
9.4%€20.00€14.50n/a24
Dec ’24€15.15
€17.46
+15.3%
8.6%€20.00€14.80n/a24
Nov ’24€15.41
€17.29
+12.2%
9.8%€20.00€14.80€14.0924
Oct ’24€15.30
€16.66
+8.9%
10.5%€19.50€13.50€13.7024
Sep ’24€14.44
€16.40
+13.6%
11.0%€19.50€13.50€14.6824
Aug ’24€13.93
€16.22
+16.5%
11.8%€19.50€13.01€14.6725
Jul ’24€12.99
€16.30
+25.5%
11.1%€19.50€13.01€14.5725
Jun ’24€12.60
€16.35
+29.7%
10.8%€19.50€13.01€14.4127
May ’24€13.52
€16.35
+20.9%
12.2%€20.00€12.00€15.2927
Apr ’24€12.88
€16.48
+28.0%
12.8%€20.00€12.50€14.6727
Mar ’24€13.19
€16.66
+26.3%
12.1%€20.00€12.50€14.2427
Feb ’24€13.87
€17.04
+22.8%
10.5%€20.00€14.00€14.8827
Jan ’24€13.57
€17.01
+25.4%
9.9%€19.10€13.90€15.3626
Dec ’23€14.07
€16.97
+20.6%
10.2%€20.00€13.90€15.1525
Nov ’23€13.49
€16.32
+21.0%
12.7%€20.00€12.00€15.4123

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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