Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.

WBAG:HLTW Stock Report

Market Cap: €59.2b

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Valuation

Is HLTW undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of HLTW when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: HLTW (€243.4) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€216.06)

Significantly Below Fair Value: HLTW is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HLTW?

Key metric: As HLTW is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for HLTW. This is calculated by dividing HLTW's market cap by their current earnings.
What is HLTW's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio52.4x
EarningsUS$1.18b
Market CapUS$61.68b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does HLTW's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for HLTW vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average29.2x
MAR Marriott International
28.5x8.4%US$79.0b
ABNB Airbnb
46.7x17.9%US$85.8b
TCOM Trip.com Group
18.5x9.0%US$41.4b
AMS Amadeus IT Group
23.1x10.7%€29.2b
HLTW Hilton Worldwide Holdings
52.4x17.6%€61.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: HLTW is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (52.4x) compared to the peer average (29.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does HLTW's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Hospitality Industry?

10 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
HLTW 52.4xIndustry Avg. 17.3xNo. of Companies18PE01224364860+
10 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: HLTW is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (52.4x) compared to the European Hospitality industry average (17.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is HLTW's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

HLTW PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio52.4x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate HLTW's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst HLTW forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€243.40
€224.06
-7.9%
10.1%€260.27€175.73n/a26
Nov ’25€219.10
€214.48
-2.1%
10.0%€252.30€170.35n/a26
Oct ’25€206.80
€195.56
-5.4%
9.0%€228.57€161.98n/a26
Sep ’25€196.75
€196.83
+0.04%
8.3%€229.34€162.52n/a25
Aug ’25€194.35
€202.39
+4.1%
8.1%€234.09€167.73n/a25
Jul ’25€199.20
€201.94
+1.4%
8.3%€237.82€170.41n/a25
Jun ’25€181.70
€197.97
+9.0%
8.3%€233.60€167.39n/a24
May ’25€186.00
€199.00
+7.0%
8.4%€236.78€169.66n/a23
Apr ’25€197.85
€192.94
-2.5%
8.1%€226.04€162.38n/a24
Mar ’25€188.10
€185.00
-1.6%
8.6%€219.27€141.56n/a23
Feb ’25€175.75
€166.09
-5.5%
9.7%€198.29€133.73n/a23
Jan ’25€163.55
€156.22
-4.5%
7.5%€172.91€131.27n/a23
Dec ’24€157.05
€153.81
-2.1%
6.9%€174.31€132.33n/a22
Nov ’24€142.75
€158.07
+10.7%
7.0%€179.90€136.58€219.1022
Oct ’24€142.15
€152.95
+7.6%
5.9%€170.42€135.78€206.8021
Sep ’24€139.65
€148.99
+6.7%
6.2%€166.82€132.91€196.7522
Aug ’24€141.10
€147.63
+4.6%
6.3%€165.71€132.02€194.3522
Jul ’24€133.40
€141.66
+6.2%
5.0%€155.07€129.53€199.2020
Jun ’24€128.15
€144.32
+12.6%
5.1%€157.83€131.83€181.7020
May ’24€127.95
€141.19
+10.3%
5.5%€154.96€129.43€186.0019
Apr ’24€129.42
€140.38
+8.5%
5.9%€155.87€125.62€197.8520
Mar ’24€135.38
€143.84
+6.3%
6.4%€161.14€122.28€188.1020
Feb ’24€132.94
€134.31
+1.0%
8.3%€157.30€113.15€175.7520
Jan ’24€117.94
€137.87
+16.9%
7.2%€160.93€115.76€163.5520
Dec ’23€135.76
€141.02
+3.9%
6.6%€154.96€119.13€157.0518
Nov ’23€136.70
€147.11
+7.6%
6.7%€161.95€124.50€142.7518

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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