Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.

WBAG:HLTW Stock Report

Market Cap: €58.7b

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Valuation

Is HLTW undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of HLTW when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: HLTW (€241.1) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€217.18)

Significantly Below Fair Value: HLTW is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HLTW?

Key metric: As HLTW is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for HLTW. This is calculated by dividing HLTW's market cap by their current earnings.
What is HLTW's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio51.2x
EarningsUS$1.18b
Market CapUS$60.25b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does HLTW's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for HLTW vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average28.7x
MAR Marriott International
27.6x8.5%US$77.5b
ABNB Airbnb
44.7x16.9%US$82.1b
TCOM Trip.com Group
19x10.1%US$44.7b
AMS Amadeus IT Group
23.6x10.7%€29.9b
HLTW Hilton Worldwide Holdings
51.2x16.2%€60.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: HLTW is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (51.2x) compared to the peer average (29.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does HLTW's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Hospitality Industry?

9 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
HLTW 51.2xIndustry Avg. 17.2xNo. of Companies16PE01224364860+
9 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: HLTW is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (51.2x) compared to the European Hospitality industry average (17.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is HLTW's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

HLTW PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio51.2x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate HLTW's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst HLTW forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€241.10
€233.49
-3.2%
11.6%€285.73€178.58n/a26
Dec ’25€240.40
€224.06
-6.8%
10.1%€260.27€175.73n/a26
Nov ’25€219.10
€214.48
-2.1%
10.0%€252.30€170.35n/a26
Oct ’25€206.80
€195.56
-5.4%
9.0%€228.57€161.98n/a26
Sep ’25€196.75
€196.83
+0.04%
8.3%€229.34€162.52n/a25
Aug ’25€194.35
€202.39
+4.1%
8.1%€234.09€167.73n/a25
Jul ’25€199.20
€201.94
+1.4%
8.3%€237.82€170.41n/a25
Jun ’25€181.70
€197.97
+9.0%
8.3%€233.60€167.39n/a24
May ’25€186.00
€199.00
+7.0%
8.4%€236.78€169.66n/a23
Apr ’25€197.85
€192.94
-2.5%
8.1%€226.04€162.38n/a24
Mar ’25€188.10
€185.00
-1.6%
8.6%€219.27€141.56n/a23
Feb ’25€175.75
€166.09
-5.5%
9.7%€198.29€133.73n/a23
Jan ’25€163.55
€156.22
-4.5%
7.5%€172.91€131.27€237.6023
Dec ’24€157.05
€153.81
-2.1%
6.9%€174.31€132.33€240.4022
Nov ’24€142.75
€158.07
+10.7%
7.0%€179.90€136.58€219.1022
Oct ’24€142.15
€152.95
+7.6%
5.9%€170.42€135.78€206.8021
Sep ’24€139.65
€148.99
+6.7%
6.2%€166.82€132.91€196.7522
Aug ’24€141.10
€147.63
+4.6%
6.3%€165.71€132.02€194.3522
Jul ’24€133.40
€141.66
+6.2%
5.0%€155.07€129.53€199.2020
Jun ’24€128.15
€144.32
+12.6%
5.1%€157.83€131.83€181.7020
May ’24€127.95
€141.19
+10.3%
5.5%€154.96€129.43€186.0019
Apr ’24€129.42
€140.38
+8.5%
5.9%€155.87€125.62€197.8520
Mar ’24€135.38
€143.84
+6.3%
6.4%€161.14€122.28€188.1020
Feb ’24€132.94
€134.31
+1.0%
8.3%€157.30€113.15€175.7520
Jan ’24€117.94
€137.87
+16.9%
7.2%€160.93€115.76€163.5520

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/02 06:17
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/02 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. is covered by 49 analysts. 17 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
John StaszakArgus Research Company
Michael BellisarioBaird
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research