Walmart Valuation

Is WMT undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of WMT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: WMT (€86.64) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€81.21)

Significantly Below Fair Value: WMT is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for WMT?

Key metric: As WMT is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for WMT. This is calculated by dividing WMT's market cap by their current earnings.
What is WMT's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio36.6x
EarningsUS$19.68b
Market CapUS$719.42b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does WMT's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for WMT vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average50.7x
COST Costco Wholesale
58.4x8.2%US$425.7b
TGT Target
13.3x4.5%US$59.9b
WALMEX * Wal-Mart de México. de
17.4x9.5%Mex$929.0b
8267 Aeon
113.5x19.6%JP¥3.0t
WMT Walmart
36.6x9.4%€719.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: WMT is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (36.6x) compared to the peer average (50.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does WMT's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Consumer Retailing Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
WMT 36.6xIndustry Avg. 14.7xNo. of Companies8PE0816243240+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: WMT is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (36.6x) compared to the European Consumer Retailing industry average (15x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is WMT's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

WMT PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio36.6x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate WMT's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst WMT forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€86.64
€91.05
+5.1%
8.3%€100.17€55.33n/a38
Nov ’25€75.75
€78.17
+3.2%
8.6%€90.10€51.49n/a38
Oct ’25€73.03
€74.22
+1.6%
8.0%€88.01€50.29n/a37
Sep ’25€69.13
€71.64
+3.6%
6.5%€77.05€50.17n/a36
Aug ’25€64.15
€67.82
+5.7%
8.1%€79.46€48.04n/a36
Jul ’25€62.86
€67.18
+6.9%
7.1%€75.44€48.43n/a35
Jun ’25€59.37
€65.08
+9.6%
6.3%€69.05€47.88n/a36
May ’25€55.46
€61.24
+10.4%
6.3%€70.58€47.06n/a37
Apr ’25€56.01
€60.16
+7.4%
6.4%€69.28€46.19n/a37
Mar ’25€53.87
€60.04
+11.5%
6.4%€70.13€46.14n/a37
Feb ’25€51.55
€55.27
+7.2%
6.5%€64.79€45.35n/a37
Jan ’25€47.59
€54.55
+14.6%
6.5%€64.12€44.88n/a38
Dec ’24€47.08
€54.40
+15.5%
6.4%€63.80€44.66n/a38
Nov ’24€51.91
€56.10
+8.1%
6.5%€66.09€45.63€75.7538
Oct ’24€50.82
€55.87
+9.9%
6.4%€66.09€45.64€73.0338
Sep ’24€49.77
€54.32
+9.1%
6.1%€64.54€44.56€69.1338
Aug ’24€48.48
€51.62
+6.5%
5.8%€63.66€46.08€64.1538
Jul ’24€47.75
€51.53
+7.9%
4.9%€56.92€44.37€62.8638
Jun ’24€45.61
€51.62
+13.2%
4.8%€55.99€45.10€59.3737
May ’24€45.63
€49.51
+8.5%
5.2%€54.69€43.75€55.4638
Apr ’24€45.23
€49.21
+8.8%
5.4%€55.01€44.01€56.0137
Mar ’24€43.64
€50.62
+16.0%
5.4%€56.60€45.28€53.8737
Feb ’24€43.91
€48.62
+10.7%
6.1%€53.10€40.36€51.5536
Jan ’24€44.31
€50.39
+13.7%
6.4%€55.00€41.80€47.5937
Dec ’23€48.19
€50.65
+5.1%
6.4%€55.42€42.12€47.0836
Nov ’23€48.08
€51.43
+7.0%
6.0%€57.36€43.86€51.9136

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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