Metro Valuation

Is MEO undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MEO when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MEO (€4.36) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€1.62)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MEO is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MEO?

Key metric: As MEO is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for MEO. This is calculated by dividing MEO's market cap by their current revenue.
What is MEO's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.05x
Sales€30.89b
Market Cap€1.57b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does MEO's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for MEO vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.5x
4162 Almunajem Foods
1.7x8.0%ر.س5.8b
SPP SPAR Group
0.2x4.3%R26.1b
ANDE Andersons
0.1x4.7%US$1.6b
UNFI United Natural Foods
0.05x0.1%US$1.4b
MEO Metro
0.05x2.9%€1.6b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: MEO is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the peer average (0.5x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does MEO's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Consumer Retailing Industry?

11 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.0.3x4.4%
MEO Metro
0.05x2.9%US$1.65b
MEO 0.1xIndustry Avg. 0.3xNo. of Companies14PS00.40.81.21.62+
11 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.0.3x11.4%
MEO Metro
0.05x121.2%US$1.65b
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: MEO is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the European Consumer Retailing industry average (0.3x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MEO's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MEO PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.05x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate MEO's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MEO forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€4.36
€5.35
+22.8%
29.8%€9.50€4.00n/a9
Nov ’25€4.40
€5.35
+21.5%
29.8%€9.50€4.00n/a9
Oct ’25€4.80
€5.86
+22.0%
27.1%€9.50€4.00n/a9
Sep ’25€4.63
€5.86
+26.7%
27.1%€9.50€4.00n/a9
Aug ’25€4.11
€5.75
+39.8%
29.2%€9.50€4.00n/a9
Jul ’25€4.39
€5.93
+35.1%
26.1%€9.50€4.00n/a10
Jun ’25€4.97
€5.93
+19.5%
26.1%€9.50€4.00n/a10
May ’25€5.06
€6.18
+22.2%
25.0%€9.50€4.00n/a10
Apr ’25€5.07
€6.25
+23.4%
24.0%€9.50€4.00n/a10
Mar ’25€5.21
€6.25
+20.0%
24.0%€9.50€4.00n/a10
Feb ’25€6.27
€6.51
+3.8%
17.7%€7.70€4.00n/a9
Jan ’25€6.31
€6.51
+3.1%
17.7%€7.70€4.00n/a9
Dec ’24€5.92
€6.72
+13.6%
15.8%€7.80€4.95n/a8
Nov ’24€6.06
€6.97
+15.0%
17.0%€8.20€5.00€4.408
Oct ’24€6.55
€7.64
+16.7%
14.8%€8.84€5.00€4.808
Sep ’24€7.27
€7.64
+5.1%
14.8%€8.84€5.00€4.638
Aug ’24€7.82
€7.71
-1.5%
14.7%€8.84€5.00€4.118
Jul ’24€7.46
€7.79
+4.5%
14.1%€8.84€5.00€4.399
Jun ’24€7.28
€7.99
+9.7%
13.7%€8.84€5.00€4.979
May ’24€7.59
€7.77
+2.3%
18.2%€9.00€5.00€5.0610
Apr ’24€7.96
€7.86
-1.2%
17.6%€9.00€5.00€5.0711
Mar ’24€8.34
€7.86
-5.7%
17.6%€9.00€5.00€5.2111
Feb ’24€9.08
€7.77
-14.4%
17.5%€9.00€5.00€6.2711
Jan ’24€9.05
€7.65
-15.4%
18.1%€9.00€5.00€6.3111
Dec ’23€8.49
€6.99
-17.6%
17.6%€8.50€5.00€5.9210
Nov ’23€7.34
€7.39
+0.7%
15.8%€9.00€5.00€6.0610

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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