adidas Valuation

Is ADS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ADS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ADS (€230.7) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€244.9)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ADS is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ADS?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

ADS key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA58.2x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does ADS's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for ADS vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average4.3x
KER Kering
2.1x4.8%€41.4b
LULU Lululemon Athletica
4.8x9.3%US$45.9b
2020 ANTA Sports Products
3.8x10.5%HK$254.9b
500114 Titan
6.5x13.2%₹3.2t
ADS adidas
1.9x7.5%€41.2b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: ADS is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.9x) compared to the peer average (4.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ADS's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Luxury Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a10.1%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a10.1%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: ADS is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.9x) compared to the European Luxury industry average (0.6x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ADS's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ADS PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.9x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate ADS's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ADS forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€230.70
€214.50
-7.0%
12.7%€250.00€150.00n/a28
Apr ’25€207.05
€196.86
-4.9%
15.6%€230.00€95.00n/a28
Mar ’25€186.82
€185.29
-0.8%
16.3%€230.00€95.00n/a29
Feb ’25€172.72
€186.32
+7.9%
16.2%€230.00€95.00n/a29
Jan ’25€185.28
€186.88
+0.9%
16.2%€230.00€100.00n/a30
Dec ’24€194.28
€183.88
-5.4%
15.3%€220.00€100.00n/a30
Nov ’24€166.58
€183.28
+10.0%
17.8%€235.00€90.00n/a30
Oct ’24€166.88
€183.29
+9.8%
18.2%€235.00€90.00n/a29
Sep ’24€184.72
€181.01
-2.0%
18.7%€235.00€90.00n/a30
Aug ’24€182.86
€175.05
-4.3%
19.3%€225.00€85.00n/a29
Jul ’24€177.90
€162.98
-8.4%
19.4%€216.00€85.00n/a28
Jun ’24€150.68
€156.45
+3.8%
20.6%€206.50€75.66n/a30
May ’24€159.86
€147.31
-7.8%
20.7%€200.00€75.00n/a29
Apr ’24€162.26
€143.97
-11.3%
19.7%€196.00€75.00€207.0529
Mar ’24€140.58
€135.47
-3.6%
22.2%€206.40€70.00€186.8230
Feb ’24€148.14
€138.11
-6.8%
20.4%€195.00€75.66€172.7231
Jan ’24€127.68
€133.63
+4.7%
22.0%€195.00€75.66€185.2831
Dec ’23€124.38
€133.21
+7.1%
22.2%€195.00€75.66€194.2831
Nov ’23€98.95
€132.25
+33.7%
31.0%€270.90€87.00€166.5830
Oct ’23€118.92
€195.07
+64.0%
24.8%€340.00€120.00€166.8830
Sep ’23€145.38
€203.00
+39.6%
23.1%€340.00€120.00€184.7230
Aug ’23€171.04
€210.34
+23.0%
25.7%€340.00€120.00€182.8631
Jul ’23€168.00
€251.52
+49.7%
20.8%€348.00€135.78€177.9031
Jun ’23€182.14
€257.81
+41.5%
19.8%€348.00€135.78€150.6831
May ’23€193.02
€279.68
+44.9%
17.1%€350.00€135.78€159.8631
Apr ’23€210.05
€288.13
+37.2%
16.9%€363.00€135.78€162.2631

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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