Is NCH2 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
0/6
Valuation Score 0/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Sales vs Peers
Price-To-Sales vs Industry
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of NCH2 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: NCH2 (€8.43) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€3.28)
Significantly Below Fair Value: NCH2 is trading above our estimate of fair value.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NCH2?
Key metric: As NCH2 is barely profitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for NCH2. This is calculated by dividing NCH2's market cap by their current
revenue.
What is NCH2's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio
1.4x
Sales
€771.40m
Market Cap
€1.07b
NCH2 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Price-To-Sales vs Industry: NCH2 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.4x) compared to the European Construction industry average (0.4x).
Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is NCH2's PS Ratio
compared to its
Fair PS Ratio?
This is the expected PS Ratio taking into
account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins
and other risk factors.
NCH2 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio
1.4x
Fair PS Ratio
0.2x
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: NCH2 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
The above table shows the analyst NCH2 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date
Share Price
Average 1Y Price Target
Dispersion
High
Low
1Y Actual price
Analysts
Current
€8.43
€14.71
+74.6%
34.8%
€25.50
€8.50
n/a
11
Nov ’25
€9.57
€14.71
+53.7%
34.8%
€25.50
€8.50
n/a
11
Oct ’25
€9.51
€14.71
+54.7%
34.8%
€25.50
€8.50
n/a
11
Sep ’25
€9.26
€15.35
+65.8%
38.3%
€25.50
€8.50
n/a
11
Aug ’25
€8.55
€17.40
+103.6%
35.3%
€25.50
€9.00
n/a
12
Jul ’25
€9.24
€18.96
+105.3%
26.1%
€25.50
€10.00
n/a
12
Jun ’25
€11.58
€18.96
+63.7%
26.1%
€25.50
€10.00
n/a
12
May ’25
€12.08
€21.62
+79.0%
21.4%
€27.00
€11.00
n/a
11
Apr ’25
€14.40
€21.80
+51.4%
22.3%
€29.00
€11.00
n/a
11
Mar ’25
€15.40
€22.40
+45.5%
21.4%
€29.00
€12.00
n/a
12
Feb ’25
€14.95
€24.03
+60.7%
16.4%
€29.00
€16.00
n/a
10
Jan ’25
€18.34
€24.03
+31.0%
16.4%
€29.00
€16.00
n/a
10
Dec ’24
€16.47
€18.50
+12.3%
13.5%
€21.00
€16.00
n/a
2
Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.