GEA Group Aktiengesellschaft

WBAG:G1A Stock Report

Market Cap: €7.8b

GEA Group Valuation

Is G1A undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of G1A when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: G1A (€47.06) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€96.64)

Significantly Below Fair Value: G1A is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for G1A?

Key metric: As G1A is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for G1A. This is calculated by dividing G1A's market cap by their current earnings.
What is G1A's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio19.1x
Earnings€406.56m
Market Cap€7.77b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does G1A's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for G1A vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.5x
ANDR Andritz
10.6x5.2%€5.3b
SEM Semperit Holding
15.8x47.0%€236.6m
STR Strabag
7x-4.7%€4.5b
ESAB ESAB
28.5x9.6%US$7.8b
G1A GEA Group
19.1x8.3%€7.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: G1A is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.1x) compared to the peer average (15.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does G1A's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Machinery Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
G1A 19.1xIndustry Avg. 17.3xNo. of Companies31PE01224364860+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: G1A is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.1x) compared to the European Machinery industry average (17.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is G1A's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

G1A PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio19.1x
Fair PE Ratio12x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: G1A is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst G1A forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€47.06
€49.95
+6.1%
7.0%€54.00€39.00n/a14
Nov ’25€45.44
€49.43
+8.8%
7.5%€54.00€38.50n/a13
Oct ’25€44.32
€46.82
+5.6%
7.4%€52.00€38.50n/a13
Sep ’25€42.58
€46.06
+8.2%
7.1%€52.00€38.50n/a13
Aug ’25€40.22
€44.31
+10.2%
10.7%€52.00€34.00n/a14
Jul ’25€39.36
€43.93
+11.6%
10.3%€52.00€34.00n/a14
Jun ’25€38.20
€43.43
+13.7%
9.2%€48.00€34.00n/a14
May ’25€37.88
€42.86
+13.1%
9.0%€47.00€34.00n/a14
Apr ’25€39.16
€42.61
+8.8%
8.9%€47.00€34.00n/a14
Mar ’25€38.00
€41.23
+8.5%
10.7%€47.00€32.00n/a15
Feb ’25€37.56
€41.23
+9.8%
10.7%€47.00€32.00n/a15
Jan ’25€37.53
€40.72
+8.5%
11.1%€47.00€30.00n/a15
Dec ’24€33.98
€40.86
+20.3%
11.1%€47.00€30.00n/a16
Nov ’24€32.17
€41.49
+29.0%
11.8%€52.00€30.00€45.4416
Oct ’24€35.11
€42.51
+21.1%
11.6%€52.00€31.00€44.3217
Sep ’24€36.31
€42.39
+16.8%
11.8%€52.00€31.00€42.5817
Aug ’24€38.52
€42.82
+11.2%
12.6%€52.00€31.00€40.2217
Jul ’24€38.30
€43.48
+13.5%
12.2%€52.00€31.00€39.3617
Jun ’24€39.51
€43.48
+10.0%
12.2%€52.00€31.00€38.2017
May ’24€42.52
€43.14
+1.4%
11.8%€50.00€31.00€37.8817
Apr ’24€41.95
€43.08
+2.7%
11.6%€50.00€31.00€39.1617
Mar ’24€41.73
€40.68
-2.5%
11.5%€48.00€28.00€38.0017
Feb ’24€41.43
€40.68
-1.8%
11.4%€48.00€28.00€37.5617
Jan ’24€38.16
€40.36
+5.8%
11.5%€48.00€28.00€37.5317
Dec ’23€39.38
€40.40
+2.6%
11.1%€48.00€28.00€33.9818
Nov ’23€35.85
€39.68
+10.7%
12.0%€48.00€28.00€32.1718

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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