Vinci Valuation

Is DG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of DG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: DG (€114.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€135.62)

Significantly Below Fair Value: DG is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DG?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

DG key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA7.9x
PEG Ratio2.6x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does DG's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for DG vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average27x
STR Strabag
7.8x-9.0%€4.8b
POS PORR
6.2x12.7%€536.6m
500510 Larsen & Toubro
41.3x20.5%₹5.4t
PWR Quanta Services
52.6x14.5%US$40.4b
DG Vinci
13.9x5.3%€65.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: DG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.9x) compared to the peer average (27x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does DG's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Construction Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a10.0%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a10.0%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: DG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.9x) compared to the European Construction industry average (13.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is DG's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

DG PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13.9x
Fair PE Ratio13.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: DG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst DG forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€114.50
€133.26
+16.4%
5.3%€145.00€117.00n/a19
May ’25€110.90
€133.26
+20.2%
5.3%€145.00€117.00n/a19
Apr ’25€115.94
€133.33
+15.0%
6.1%€151.00€117.00n/a18
Mar ’25€118.56
€133.61
+12.7%
6.0%€151.00€117.00n/a18
Feb ’25€116.90
€130.53
+11.7%
6.6%€150.00€113.00n/a19
Jan ’25€113.98
€127.11
+11.5%
5.1%€138.00€113.00n/a19
Dec ’24€113.14
€124.84
+10.3%
5.0%€138.00€113.00n/a19
Nov ’24€104.34
€124.84
+19.6%
5.0%€138.00€113.00n/a19
Oct ’24€105.64
€126.05
+19.3%
5.5%€141.00€113.00n/a19
Sep ’24€103.44
€126.10
+21.9%
5.3%€141.00€113.00n/a19
Aug ’24€107.28
€126.10
+17.5%
5.3%€141.00€113.00n/a19
Jul ’24€106.04
€124.08
+17.0%
7.2%€141.00€103.69n/a20
Jun ’24€107.24
€123.08
+14.8%
6.8%€141.00€103.69€114.5020
May ’24€112.26
€123.08
+9.6%
6.8%€141.00€103.69€110.9020
Apr ’24€106.28
€121.60
+14.4%
6.7%€140.00€103.69€115.9421
Mar ’24€108.36
€120.41
+11.1%
7.8%€140.00€103.69€118.5621
Feb ’24€103.84
€114.38
+10.2%
6.3%€133.00€103.69€116.9021
Jan ’24€93.99
€112.29
+19.5%
5.5%€124.00€103.69€113.9821
Dec ’23€98.03
€111.17
+13.4%
6.4%€124.00€94.50€113.1421
Nov ’23€94.14
€111.50
+18.4%
6.2%€124.00€94.50€104.3421
Oct ’23€83.30
€112.70
+35.3%
5.0%€124.00€104.79€105.6420
Sep ’23€91.76
€112.70
+22.8%
5.0%€124.00€104.79€103.4420
Aug ’23€93.54
€111.85
+19.6%
5.1%€124.00€101.00€107.2820
Jul ’23€85.58
€111.08
+29.8%
5.9%€124.00€98.00€106.0420
Jun ’23€90.66
€111.40
+22.9%
6.1%€124.00€98.00€107.2419

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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