Société Générale Société anonyme

WBAG:GLE Stock Report

Market Cap: €21.0b

Société Générale Société anonyme Valuation

Is GLE undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GLE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GLE (€25.89) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€77.93)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GLE is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GLE?

Key metric: As GLE is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for GLE. This is calculated by dividing GLE's market cap by their current earnings.
What is GLE's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio7.3x
Earnings€2.86b
Market Cap€20.96b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does GLE's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for GLE vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average8x
EBS Erste Group Bank
6.8x-3.1%€21.1b
BG BAWAG Group
8.6x5.7%€5.8b
RBI Raiffeisen Bank International
2.6x-3.7%€5.8b
OBS Oberbank
14.1xn/a€5.0b
GLE Société Générale Société anonyme
7.3x14.7%€21.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GLE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.3x) compared to the peer average (8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GLE's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Banks Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GLE 7.3xIndustry Avg. 7.3xNo. of Companies45PE0612182430+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GLE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.3x) compared to the European Banks industry average (7.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GLE's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GLE PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7.3x
Fair PE Ratio8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: GLE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GLE forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€25.89
€32.28
+24.7%
14.8%€45.00€24.00n/a19
Nov ’25€27.25
€31.78
+16.6%
15.3%€45.00€24.00n/a19
Oct ’25€22.36
€30.50
+36.4%
17.0%€45.50€24.00n/a20
Sep ’25€21.85
€30.75
+40.8%
16.1%€45.50€24.90n/a20
Aug ’25€21.97
€31.09
+41.5%
15.6%€45.50€25.50n/a20
Jul ’25€23.01
€30.94
+34.5%
15.8%€45.90€24.84n/a21
Jun ’25€27.49
€30.26
+10.1%
12.1%€40.20€24.84n/a20
May ’25€25.64
€30.04
+17.2%
12.8%€40.20€23.00n/a21
Apr ’25€24.50
€29.50
+20.4%
13.6%€40.20€23.00n/a21
Mar ’25€22.44
€29.64
+32.1%
13.9%€40.20€23.00n/a21
Feb ’25€23.85
€30.07
+26.1%
13.9%€40.20€21.90n/a21
Jan ’25€24.03
€30.06
+25.1%
14.0%€40.20€22.25n/a21
Dec ’24€22.81
€29.99
+31.5%
14.1%€40.20€22.25n/a21
Nov ’24€21.23
€31.07
+46.3%
10.9%€40.20€26.00€27.2520
Oct ’24€23.20
€31.37
+35.2%
11.0%€40.20€25.96€22.3620
Sep ’24€26.35
€35.05
+33.0%
12.6%€46.00€25.50€21.8521
Aug ’24€24.79
€33.79
+36.3%
14.2%€43.00€25.50€21.9721
Jul ’24€24.12
€33.35
+38.3%
14.4%€43.00€25.50€23.0120
Jun ’24€21.82
€33.01
+51.3%
12.7%€40.20€25.50€27.4921
May ’24€21.96
€33.01
+50.4%
12.2%€40.20€25.50€25.6421
Apr ’24n/a
€33.18
0%
11.9%€40.20€25.50€24.5021
Mar ’24€27.32
€32.84
+20.2%
12.9%€40.20€25.50€22.4421
Feb ’24€27.39
€32.63
+19.2%
13.3%€40.20€25.50€23.8521
Jan ’24€23.57
€33.19
+40.8%
14.8%€41.00€25.00€24.0320
Dec ’23€23.42
€33.59
+43.5%
14.0%€41.00€25.00€22.8120
Nov ’23€23.49
€32.74
+39.4%
17.5%€42.30€17.15€21.2322

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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